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东谈西论

东谈西论

zaobao.sg 早报

纵观天下,监测中国心跳,由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》,每周探讨国际热点话题,分析国际政治动态。

135 - 全世界系好安全带 迎接特朗普的新美国 Trump’s triumph: Global implications
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  • 135 - 全世界系好安全带 迎接特朗普的新美国 Trump’s triumph: Global implications

    美国总统选举结果已经尘埃落定,前总统特朗普大胜,他不仅赢得所有摇摆州的选举人票,普选票也胜过对手哈里斯。

    特朗普誓言带领美国进入黄金时代,弥合国家伤口。他在竞选期间公布的政策包括大规模驱逐移民,对中国商品加征关税至60%,对其他国家商品征税10%至20%,而且要欧洲盟友和台湾支付更多“保护费”。

    评论人担忧,美国将走回历史上的孤立时代。这会对世界带来什么影响?中国又会如何迎接特朗普治下的“黄金美国”?

    这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红与清华大学战略与安全研究中心主任、国际关系学系教授达巍解析特朗普再次当选美国总统对世界的影响。

    延伸阅读:

    吴汉钧:特朗普能否带领美国进入黄金时代?

    韩咏红:特朗普2.0给中国的危机与机遇

    Donald Trump achieved a significant victory in the US election, securing not only the electoral votes of key swing states but also leading his opponent Kamala Harris in the popular vote. Trump vowed to lead America into a “golden age” while addressing national healing. His proposed policies include imposing a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 10% tariff on goods from other countries, alongside demands for increased financial contributions from U.S. allies in exchange for security guarantees. Concerns about a potential shift towards a more isolationist stance under Trump's leadership have been raised, particularly regarding how this might affect global alliances and relations with China. These developments prompt discussions about their implications for international security dynamics. In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yonghong discusses these issues with Professor Da Wei, Director of the Centre for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University.

    Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

     

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Tue, 12 Nov 2024
  • 134 - 白宫之战:特朗普若再当选的另类观点 US Election 2024: Trump 2.0?

    美国总统大选已进入投票日,全世界都在屏息以待选举结果。在投票日前三天,提前邮寄投票的选民已超过7500万。至今,现任副总统、民主党候选人哈里斯与前总统、共和党候选人特朗普的选情依然胶着,互不相让,选举进入割喉战。

    两大阵营频出奇招,但也出现了猪队友自乱阵脚的情况。哈里斯引述他人言论,指责特朗普为法西斯分子;拜登则称特朗普的支持者为“垃圾”,引发巨大争议。

    越来越多的民调显示,特朗普的胜选几率正在上升。中国的知识界怎么看待特朗普重返白宫的可能性?

    这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红与中国复旦大学教授沈丁立深入解析特朗普如果再次当选,是会更加可怕,还是可能带来转机?

    延伸阅读:

    美国总统大选前夕 中国学者预期特朗普赢面更大

    杨丹旭:美国大选,世界在等

    As the world watches with bated breath, the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is proving to be one of the most closely contested in recent history. With more than 75 million mail-in votes already cast, the election has entered a critical phase. Both campaigns have resorted to aggressive tactics, sometimes backfiring spectacularly. Adding to the tension, several polls suggest Trump might have an edge, raising questions about what a second Trump presidency would mean for America and the world. In China, intellectuals are closely analysing the potential implications of a Trump return. Would it be a global disaster, or could there be unexpected upsides? In the latest episode of Global Heartbeat, Professor Shen Dingli of Fudan University provides expert insights into the impact of the election outcome on international politics.

    Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Tue, 05 Nov 2024
  • 133 - 哈里斯选情告急 特朗普尾市看涨 US Election 2024: A nail-biting finish

    美国民主党总统候选人哈里斯的选情告急。

    在刚过去的周末,前总统奥巴马夫人米歇尔亲自下场到关键摇摆州密歇根州,为哈里斯站台助选。米歇尔充满爆发力的演讲让全场气氛燃爆。

    另一方面,特朗普在纽约市举行了大型造势晚会,现场挤得水泄不通,有的支持者还连夜在会场外扎营。特朗普在致辞时,呼吁支持者将哈里斯赶出白宫。

    距离投票日只剩下一个星期,两位候选人哈里斯和特朗普的选情依然高度胶着。但多份最新民调显示,特朗普的当选几率正在赶超哈里斯。

    这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红与美国德州山姆休士顿州立大学政治系副教授翁履中解析特朗普真的要回来了吗?他会给美国和世界带来什么?在如此激烈的选举后,美国能否实现政权的和平交接?

    延伸阅读:

    国际特稿:经济课题主导美国选情 选民手中一票投给三餐温饱 韩咏红:美国总统大选是什么在摇摆?

    The US presidential election is down to the wire, with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris locked in a tight race.  As the clock ticks down to Election Day, both candidates are pulling out all the stops.  Former First Lady Michelle Obama energised Harris supporters in the crucial swing state of Michigan with a rousing speech. Simultaneously, Trump held a massive rally in New York City, demonstrating the enduring fervour of his base. While some recent polls suggest a potential surge for Trump, the race remains too close to call.

    Amidst this heated political climate, concerns are mounting over whether the US can ensure a peaceful transition of power following the election. This election carries significant weight, raising crucial questions about the future direction of the US and its role on the global stage. The stakes are high, and the world is watching as the US heads towards a potentially historic election.  

    In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Dr. Dennis Lu-Chung Weng, Associate Professor of Political Science at Sam Houston State University, shares his analysis and insights. 

    Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Tue, 29 Oct 2024
  • 132 - 朝鲜参战乌克兰,想干嘛?North Korean troops in Ukraine

    韩国情报部门上周公布情报称,朝鲜已经决定向乌克兰战场派遣包括特种部队在内的12,000名兵力,参与俄罗斯乌克兰的战争。

    韩国国情院称,今年8月,首批1,500多名朝鲜特种部队已被送往俄罗斯的符拉迪沃斯托克,也就是中国所称的海参崴。

    另一方面,乌克兰总统泽连斯基上周告诉媒体,根据他们的情报,朝鲜已经派遣技术人员和军官前往乌克兰被分裂的地区。他也表示,朝鲜准备派遣1万名兵力到战场,这相当于第二个国家正式加入了对乌克兰的战争。自从乌克兰战争爆发以来,朝鲜一直向俄罗斯提供炮弹、导弹和其他武器援助,但尚未大规模派遣军队参战。

    朝鲜这次真的准备派兵到前线了吗?如果属实,朝鲜的意图和目的是什么?

    这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红与《联合早报》驻北京的记者于泽远详细解析朝鲜的加入将如何影响俄乌战争的局势,乃至东北亚的和平。

    Reports of North Korea's potential involvement in the Ukraine war have sent ripples through the international community. South Korean intelligence claims Pyongyang is preparing to send up to 12,000 troops, including special forces, to aid Russia. This claim, while unverified, alleges that an initial contingent of over 1,500 soldiers has already arrived in Vladivostok. The situation has raised alarms, with Ukrainian President Zelensky concerned about another nation entering the fray. The emergence of unverified videos purportedly showing North Korean soldiers receiving equipment from Russian troops has further fueled speculation. 

    This development raises critical questions about North Korea's motivations and strategic intentions. The potential consequences of North Korean involvement are far-reaching. It could escalate the conflict, destabilise the region, and exacerbate existing geopolitical tensions, especially in Northeast Asia.

    In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, join host Han Yonghong and Lianhe Zaobao's China News Copy Editor Yu Zeyuan as they explore the potential implications of North Korea’s military involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war.

    Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Tue, 22 Oct 2024
  • 131 - 以色列七线开火 内坦亚胡是赢家?Israel’s multifront war: Netanyahu winning or losing?

    以色列与哈马斯冲突爆发一周年, 加沙地带的暴力冲突仍未消停,以色列的北方邻国黎巴嫩也卷入了战火。 

    根据联合国的评估,在一个月内,以色列的攻击已经造成黎巴嫩北部2000人死亡,超过百万人流离失所。

    美国、法国以及黎巴嫩的看守政府一直在努力促成停火协议,但都徒劳无功。

    以色列总理内坦亚胡在10月6日宣称,以色列目前正同时在七条战线上作战。这些战线涉及不同地点或对象,分别是:加沙的哈马斯、黎巴嫩的真主党、也门的胡塞武装、叙利亚、伊拉克,约旦河西岸的抵抗组织,以及伊朗。

    多线作战让以色列国内也遭受攻击,但以色列的军事行动为何仍在继续?国际社会,包括多个大国,都拿以色列没办法。

    这期的早报播客《东谈西论》,听主持人韩咏红和中国著名国际战略专家、中国人民大学国际关系学院退休教授时殷弘详细解析中东战火持续,遭到多国谴责的内坦亚胡到底是赢了,还是输了?

    延伸阅读:

    陈留俊:以色列的“十月冒险”? 【东谈西论】中东战争扩大 倒计时开始?

    One year after the October 7 attacks, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that his country is now fighting on seven fronts. He listed the battlegrounds as Iran, Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, Shia militants in Iraq, militant groups in Syria as well as Palestinian fighters in the West Bank. 

    Despite international efforts to broker a ceasefire, a resolution remains elusive. This multi-pronged approach, while presented as necessary by Netanyahu, has drawn international criticism and raised questions about its long-term effectiveness. Is Netanyahu's strategy a calculated gamble for security, or a dangerous escalation that could spiral out of control?  

    In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, join host Han Yong Hong and Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University of China, as they discuss the complex dynamics of Middle Eastern geopolitics as well as the implications of Netanyahu's military and political manoeuvres.

    Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    Tue, 15 Oct 2024
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