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KOREA PRO Podcast

KOREA PRO Podcast

koreapro.org

A weekly conversation about the most important news in politics, business, economy and society shaping South Korea right now. A quick, smart and to the point briefing hosted by KOREA PRO’s Jeongmin Kim and John Lee.

57 - Special episode with Andrew Yeo: Trump 2.0 and alliance challenges — Ep. 50
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  • 57 - Special episode with Andrew Yeo: Trump 2.0 and alliance challenges — Ep. 50

    In this special episode of The Korea Pro Podcast, Jeongmin sits down with Andrew Yeo to analyze the implications of a second Trump presidency for the U.S.-South Korea alliance. The discussion examines how South Korean policymakers might be preparing for various scenarios and their impact on regional security dynamics.

    The conversation delves into potential shifts in the U.S. Forces Korea’s role and mission under a second Trump administration. Yeo discusses how USFK could face greater pressure for strategic flexibility in regional contingencies, particularly as Washington increasingly prioritizes China and broader Indo-Pacific challenges. 

    Turning to economic concerns, Yeo breaks down the risks of Trump’s proposed blanket tariffs on trade partners and their potential impact on South Korean investments in the U.S., particularly in sectors like semiconductors and electric vehicle batteries. The discussion examines how South Korean companies might need to reassess their U.S. investment strategies, and explores potential strategies for managing trade tensions.

    Looking ahead, they discuss broader implications for U.S. global leadership and what Trump’s electoral success reveals about American voters’ embrace of economic nationalism. Yeo suggests that while some of Trump’s policies may endure after he leaves office, the U.S. will likely remain an “indispensable partner” in regional security despite evolving domestic political dynamics. Their discussion also touches on how future South Korean administrations might navigate these evolving dynamics, especially given domestic political transitions expected in the coming years.

    Guest: Andrew Yeo is a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Center for East Asia Policy Studies and SK-Korea Foundation Chair in Korean Studies at The Brookings Institution.

    About the podcast: The Korea Pro Podcast is a weekly 15-minute conversation hosted by Editorial Director Jeongmin Kim (@jeongminnkim) and Editor John Lee (@koreanforeigner), diving deep into the most pressing stories shaping South Korea — and dissecting the most complicated ones for professionals monitoring ROK politics, diplomacy, culture, society and technology. Uploaded every Friday.

    This episode was recorded on Monday, Nov. 25, 2024

    Audio edited by Gaby Magnuson

    Tue, 03 Dec 2024 - 32min
  • 56 - Ukraine envoy’s Korea visit, Japan spat and BOK’s surprise rate cut — Ep. 49

    In this episode of The Korea Pro Podcast, Jeongmin and Joon Ha discuss a long-awaited visit by a Ukrainian defense delegation to Seoul and its meeting with President Yoon Suk-yeol and other top officials. While Ukraine's reported weapons wish list includes air defense systems and artillery shells according to local media exclusives, the team examines why Seoul is maintaining strategic ambiguity in its official response, particularly given uncertainties about future U.S. policy direction under Trump.

    The conversation then turns to yet another rupture in ROK-Japan relations over a memorial service for Korean forced labor victims at Japan's Sado gold mine. Joon Ha explains how the appointment of a controversial Japanese representative led to separate commemorations, challenging recent diplomatic progress despite Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s supposedly dovish stance on historical issues.

    Jeongmin analyzes the Bank of Korea's unexpected decision to cut its benchmark rate to 3%, examining the central bank's concerns about external trade risks and weak domestic demand. She also discusses the surprising third-quarter uptick in South Korea's birth rate – the first increase in over a decade — while exploring how post-COVID marriage patterns might explain this shift among women in their 30s.

    Looking ahead, the team previews next week's critical budget negotiation deadline, noting an unusual convergence between the ruling and opposition parties' economic positions that could facilitate an agreement despite traditional partisan divisions.

    About the podcast: The Korea Pro Podcast is a weekly 15-minute conversation hosted by Editorial Director Jeongmin Kim (@jeongminnkim) and Editor John Lee (@koreanforeigner), diving deep into the most pressing stories shaping South Korea — and dissecting the most complicated ones for professionals monitoring ROK politics, diplomacy, culture, society and technology. Uploaded every Friday.

    This episode was recorded on Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024.

    Audio edited by Gaby Magnuson

    Fri, 29 Nov 2024 - 18min
  • 55 - Opposition legal drama, tech espionage and married women’s job numbers — Ep. 48

    In this episode of The Korea Pro Podcast, the entire Korea Pro team joins to unpack the biggest events this past week. Joon Ha begins by discussing the Seoul Central District Court’s verdict against Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung, who received a suspended one-year prison sentence for violating election laws during his 2022 presidential campaign. The team examines how this conviction could impact South Korea’s already polarized political landscape.

    The discussion then shifts to John’s insights on a developing investigation into former Moon administration officials over alleged THAAD-related intelligence leaks to China and domestic anti-THAAD activists. John explores how the Yoon administration might leverage this investigation to challenge the opposition's defense credentials, while also highlighting concurrent cases of Chinese technological espionage targeting South Korean firms.

    Jeongmin provides a critical analysis of recent government data showing record-high employment rates among married women. While some attribute this increase to President Yoon Suk-yeol’s birth rate and childcare initiatives, Jeongmin reveals a more nuanced picture, examining how economic necessities, ongoing childcare challenges and persistent structural inequalities are driving these employment trends.

    Looking ahead, the team previews Lee Jae-myung’s upcoming sentencing hearing on Monday for alleged subornation of perjury charges, considering how this additional legal challenge could further impact his political future and the Democratic Party’s trajectory.

    About the podcast: The Korea Pro Podcast is a weekly 15-minute conversation hosted by Editorial Director Jeongmin Kim (@jeongminnkim) and Editor John Lee (@koreanforeigner), diving deep into the most pressing stories shaping South Korea — and dissecting the most complicated ones for professionals monitoring ROK politics, diplomacy, culture, society and technology. Uploaded every Friday.

    This episode was recorded on Thursday, Nov. 21, 2024.

    Audio edited by Gaby Magnuson

    Fri, 22 Nov 2024 - 17min
  • 54 - Trump’s Cabinet picks raise questions for US-ROK alliance — Ep. 47

    In this episode of The Korea Pro Podcast, John is joined by junior news reporter Joon Ha to examine the implications of president-elect Donald Trump’s key cabinet nominations and their potential impact on U.S.-ROK relations. The discussion begins with an analysis of Marco Rubio’s selection as Secretary of State, exploring how his hawkish stance on North Korea might align with Seoul’s interests while potentially complicating South Korea’s diplomatic outreach to Cuba. They also delve into Pete Hegseth’s nomination as Defense Secretary, examining his military background, and Mike Waltz’s previous statements on USFK’s potential role in regional contingencies, particularly regarding Taiwan.

    The conversation then shifts to President Yoon Suk-yeol’s diplomatic agenda at the APEC summit in Peru, where he is expected to meet with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and U.S. President Joe Biden. John and Joon Ha discuss the likelihood of Yoon and Ishiba seeking early engagement with the incoming Trump administration to present a unified position on regional security matters.

    The duo also examines a developing political crisis in South Korea, where recently revealed recordings suggest Yoon’s potential involvement in local election interference. Joon Ha explains the legal implications of these allegations, drawing parallels to similar charges faced by previous South Korean presidents.

    Looking ahead, a Seoul court will deliver its verdict for main opposition Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung’s election law violation case on Friday, which may have a significant impact on South Korea’s 2027 presidential race.

    About the podcast: The Korea Pro Podcast is a weekly 15-minute conversation hosted by Editorial Director Jeongmin Kim (@jeongminnkim) and Editor John Lee (@koreanforeigner), diving deep into the most pressing stories shaping South Korea — and dissecting the most complicated ones for professionals monitoring ROK politics, diplomacy, culture, society and technology. Uploaded every Friday.

    This episode was recorded on Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024.

    Audio edited by Gaby Magnuson

    Fri, 15 Nov 2024 - 16min
  • 53 - Trump’s win sparks defense, trade concerns in South Korea — Ep. 46

    In this episode of The Korea Pro Podcast, Jeongmin and John examine the wide-ranging implications of Donald Trump’s election victory for South Korea. The discussion begins with an analysis of how Trump’s return to the White House could affect Seoul’s defense posture, including growing skepticism about the U.S. nuclear umbrella despite recent initiatives like the Washington Declaration. They explore how this might amplify calls for an independent South Korean nuclear program and raise questions about the recently finalized Special Measures Agreement.

    The conversation then turns to economic implications, particularly regarding the future of the Inflation Reduction Act. While Trump has promised to dismantle this legislation, John explains why Republican congressional support for the act’s job-creating benefits in red states might complicate these plans. He suggests that instead of abolishing the law outright, Trump might pivot from the current subsidy-based approach to a tariff-focused strategy.

    Jeongmin highlights the diplomatic dynamics at play, noting President Yoon Suk-yeol’s swift congratulatory message to Trump and their subsequent 12-minute phone call, where North Korea emerged as a key topic. The hosts discuss the significance of their planned meeting and Yoon’s explicit acknowledgment of Trump’s “Make America Great Again” platform.

    Looking ahead, the team examines how Seoul might navigate the challenges posed by Trump’s America First policies, from potential defense cost-sharing negotiations to preserving key elements of the U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement. The discussion emphasizes South Korea’s likely efforts to maintain stable alliance relations while protecting its economic interests.

    About the podcast: The Korea Pro Podcast is a weekly 15-minute conversation hosted by Editorial Director Jeongmin Kim (@jeongminnkim) and Editor John Lee (@koreanforeigner), diving deep into the most pressing stories shaping South Korea — and dissecting the most complicated ones for professionals monitoring ROK politics, diplomacy, culture, society and technology. Uploaded every Friday.

    This episode was recorded on Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024.

    Audio edited by Gaby Magnuson

    Fri, 08 Nov 2024 - 15min
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