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- 511 - 2025 outlook: Will tailwinds trump tariffs?
As the global economy comes off of another year of relatively strong growth in 2024, new and important variables are now in the mix with the election of Donald Trump and the Republican sweep of Congress. So can this solid performance continue amid the policy shifts ahead, and what might be the implications for markets? In this episode, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist and head of Goldman Sachs Research, and Dominic Wilson, senior advisor in global markets research, discuss the economic and market outlook for the year ahead.
Wed, 20 Nov 2024 - 510 - Investing in Sports: The Next Trillion Dollar Market?
The sports ecosystem has exploded as an area of investment, with professional leagues loosening rules on private equity ownership, the value of media rights deals skyrocketing, and the many sports-adjacent businesses taking on new dimensions. In the first episode of a four-part series on the changing dynamics in the business of sports, host Nicole Pullen Ross speaks to Apollo Co-Founder Josh Harris about what it means to own and run professional sports teams in the NBA, NHL, NFL, and English Premier League. She’ll also discuss the scale of the investment opportunity in sports with Dave Dase, Global Co-Head of Sports Investment Banking, and Elis Jones, Head of Sports Investment Banking for EMEA. Nicole Pullen Ross is Head of Sports and Entertainment for Goldman Sachs Private Wealth Management. She is also Head of the Private Wealth Management business for the New York region at Goldman Sachs.
Fri, 15 Nov 2024 - 509 - What Trump’s policies could mean for the Fed
Former Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan, current vice chairman at Goldman Sachs, discusses the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle, the interplay between monetary and fiscal policy, and his views on what the Trump administration could mean for Fed policy.
Tue, 12 Nov 2024 - 508 - What Trump’s win means for markets and portfolios
The markets reacted forcefully to Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election, with US stocks, bond yields, and the dollar rising sharply in response. Goldman Sachs Research’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann, head of asset allocation research, and Brian Garrett, head of Equity Execution on the Cross Asset Sales desk in Global Banking & Markets at Goldman Sachs, discuss the sustainability of these moves and the medium- and longer-term market implications of the election outcome.
Thu, 07 Nov 2024 - 507 - How Clearlake Capital’s José E. Feliciano is finding value across private markets
Clearlake Capital’s Co-Founder and Managing Partner José E. Feliciano discusses the firm’s flexible approach to investing in the private markets, artificial intelligence, and sports teams. For more insights from great investors, listen to previous episodes from our Great Investors series.
Mon, 04 Nov 2024 - 506 - What will the US presidential election mean for the economy?
How could the proposed policy agendas between the two US presidential candidates shape markets and economies? Top economists from the Democratic and Republican parties discuss a range of economic policies, painting starkly different policy approaches in some key areas but similarities in others. In the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Kevin Hassett, former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Trump, and Jared Bernstein, the current Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, speak with host Allison Nathan. This episode explores the latest Top of Mind report, Post-election economic policies.
Tue, 29 Oct 2024 - 505 - Battery Ventures’ Chelsea Stoner on the power of being ‘stage agnostic’ in tech investing
Chelsea Stoner, general partner of Battery Ventures, has long been focused on the ways in which software is transforming a variety of industries. In a discussion with Goldman Sachs’ Michael Brandmeyer, Stoner discusses her path to Silicon Valley, Battery's longevity as a tech-focused investment firm, and her unique outlook on the venture capital and private equity landscape.
Tue, 22 Oct 2024 - 504 - More gains ahead for US stocks?
The S&P 500 has staged a remarkable rally since the start of the year. How much more upside should investors expect — and what could drive those gains? Goldman Sachs Research’s David Kostin and Ryan Hammond from the US portfolio strategy team explain the drivers and risks to their year-end and 12-month targets for US equities.
Tue, 15 Oct 2024 - 503 - How to find alpha: Bridgewater Associates' Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour
Bridgewater Associates’ Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour describes where she’s seeing opportunities for higher returns and the macro factors shaping today’s investment landscape. To hear from more Great Investors, check out: Sequoia Capital’s Roelof Botha on building enduring businesses, Blackstone’s Joe Baratta on the outlook for private equity, and TPG’s Jon Winkelried on the evolution of alternative markets. The opinions and views expressed in this program may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. This program should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned in this program is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only, and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. The content of this program does not constitute a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the recipient, and is provided for informational purposes only. Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, investment, accounting, or tax advice through this program or to its recipient. Certain information contained in this program constitutes “forward-looking statements”, and there is no guarantee that these results will be achieved. Goldman Sachs has no obligation to provide updates or changes to the information in this program. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this program and any liability therefore; including in respect of direct, indirect, or consequential loss or damage is expressly disclaimed. Important Disclosures
Thu, 10 Oct 2024 - 502 - Why oil and gold prices could keep rising
Escalating conflicts in the Middle East, coupled with China’s latest round of stimulus, are changing the supply-and-demand dynamics for oil prices. Goldman Sachs Research’s Daan Struyven, co-head of commodities research, explains the implications for oil and gold prices.
Tue, 08 Oct 2024 - 501 - The missing link to retirement security
Michael Moran, a pension strategist in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, explains how the current macro environment is changing the retirement picture for both savers and retirees. Mike and his team are out with a new report that describes what they see as a missing link to retirement security.
Tue, 01 Oct 2024 - 500 - Falling rates: A salve for real estate?
The Fed has begun a long-awaited cutting cycle, potentially providing some relief to rate-sensitive sectors. Goldman Sachs’ Lotfi Karoui and Jeff Fine explain the impact of falling rates on US commercial real estate as well as the implications for housing.
Tue, 24 Sep 2024 - 499 - How Sequoia Capital’s Roelof Botha is forging the future
Sequoia Capital’s Roelof Botha, one of Silicon Valley’s most highly respected investors, discusses his career, Sequoia’s unique culture and investment processes, and how he finds and builds enduring businesses.
Fri, 20 Sep 2024 - 498 - Why China’s economy is struggling
After a stronger-than-expected start to the year, China’s economy is showing signs of weakening as the world’s second-largest economy struggles with a real estate downturn, slowing consumer spending, and geopolitical tensions. Goldman Sachs Research’s Hui Shan, chief China economist, shares her outlook for China’s growth.
Tue, 17 Sep 2024 - 497 - Private equity investing with Blackstone’s Joe Baratta
Blackstone’s Global Head of Private Equity Joe Baratta shares his outlook for the private equity industry, the macro environment today, and his evolution as a leader.
Tue, 10 Sep 2024 - 496 - Will Fed policy trigger a US recession?
Many view the recent rise in the unemployment rate as a concerning sign about the economic outlook, fueling recession fears. Could the US economy fall into recession, and will overly tight Federal Reserve policy be to blame? In the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Allison Nathan discusses these questions with three top economic minds: Claudia Sahm, the creator of the “Sahm rule” and Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Bill Dudley, and Goldman Sachs Vice Chairman and former Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Rob Kaplan. This episode explores the latest Top of Mind report, “Is the Fed behind the curve?”
Thu, 05 Sep 2024 - 495 - Women in the workforce: Analyzing the gains and gaps
Twenty-five years ago, Goldman Sachs research analyst Kathy Matsui wrote a report about the Japanese economy called Womenomics, stating that future potential economic growth will depend on increased female labor participation. So how much progress has been made in Japan and around the world? Sharon Bell, Senior Strategist on the European Portfolio Strategy Team within Goldman Sachs Research, and Asahi Pompey, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Corporate Engagement and President of the Goldman Sachs Foundation, discuss the gains — and gaps — in female workforce participation and the impact to economic growth.
Tue, 20 Aug 2024 - 494 - How a popular trade collapsed — and why it matters
The rapid unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade is rippling through global markets. Goldman Sachs Research’s Kamakshya Trivedi, head of Global Foreign Exchange, Interest Rates, and Emerging Markets Strategy, and Praneet Shah, co-head of Global G10 FX Options Trading in Global Banking & Markets, explain the carry trade, why it matters, and the implications for investment portfolios.
Tue, 13 Aug 2024 - 493 - Why recession fears are likely overblown
Global markets sold off sharply amid rising US recession fears. Goldman Sachs Research’s Chief US Economist David Mericle explains why those concerns are likely overblown.
Tue, 06 Aug 2024 - 492 - TPG CEO Jon Winkelried on the evolution of private equity and alternative markets
“Tectonic shifts” are reshaping the private markets and spurring consolidation among alternative asset managers, explains TPG CEO Jon Winkelried on Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors. Winkelried, who also served as the former president and co-chief operating officer at Goldman Sachs, shares his perspectives on investment opportunities, leading teams, and managing companies through crises. For more insights from great investors, listen to previous episodes from our Great Investors series: KKR’s Henry Kravis on private equity, culture, and global markets.
Fri, 02 Aug 2024 - 491 - Can the US consumer stay strong?
The US consumer has powered the global economy in recent years, but are signs of strain starting to form? Goldman Sachs Research’s Chief US Economist David Mericle, and Kate McShane and Bonnie Herzog, co-business unit leaders of US consumer, discuss the outlook for consumer spending and the US retail sector. For more information, listen to our Goldman Sachs Exchanges episode, Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates or read Is US consumer spending losing momentum?
Tue, 30 Jul 2024 - 490 - Private credit investing with Ares Management’s Mike Arougheti
Ares Management’s Co-founder, CEO, and President Mike Arougheti shares his outlook for the economy and private markets, his evolution as a leader, and the firm’s path to building its prowess in private credit.
Tue, 23 Jul 2024 - 489 - A skeptical look at AI investment
Tech giants and beyond are set to spend an estimated $1 trillion on AI capex in coming years. Will this investment pay off? And if it doesn’t, what does that mean for businesses and investors? MIT’s Daron Acemoglu and Goldman Sachs Research’s Jim Covello explain why reality may not match the hype on the latest episode of Goldman Exchanges, which explores the latest Top of Mind report, Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit?
Tue, 16 Jul 2024 - 488 - Oil’s extended reign? Adapting to a new era in oil markets
Rising incomes and slowing electric vehicles sales are slowing the world’s transition away from oil. Goldman Sachs Research’s Daan Struyven and Nikhil Bhandari discuss the supply-and-demand drivers shaping the oil market and what they mean for investors and consumers. For more insights read Peak oil demand is still a decade away, Which commodities are the best hedge for inflation?, and Why are EV sales slowing?
Tue, 09 Jul 2024 - 487 - Taking stock: Can the US rally continue?
Can US stocks sustain their rally from here? Goldman Sachs Research’s David Kostin, chief US equity strategist, shares his outlook for equities for the second half of the year and the risks that could derail that rally. For more information, read Stocks may extend their rally — but there’s value in diversification or listen to the Goldman Sachs The Markets podcast, where Goldman Sachs experts analyze the key market events each week, in under 10 minutes.
Tue, 02 Jul 2024 - 486 - Large-cap investing with Jennison Associates’ Kathleen McCarragher
Long-time large-cap growth manager Kathleen McCarragher of Jennison Associates speaks with Goldman Sachs’ Betsy Gorton about investing through multiple economic cycles, her perspectives on AI and growth opportunities, and her advice on building and leading teams. To hear from more Great Investors, check out: Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace on long-term investing, succession planning, and leadership lessons; Dimensional’s Founder and Chairman David Booth on being an index pioneer, working with Nobel laureates, and investing through uncertainty; KKR’s Henry Kravis on private equity, culture, and global markets. And for more on large-cap stocks, listen to: Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Are the largest US stocks too dominant?
Fri, 28 Jun 2024 - 485 - Why the French and UK elections matter for investors
As two of Europe's three largest economies head to the polls, what are markets telling us about the political landscape? Goldman Sachs Research's Sharon Bell and George Cole explain how France's looming parliamentary elections are affecting French stocks and bonds, while UK financial markets have been relatively stable ahead of the country's general election.
Tue, 25 Jun 2024 - 484 - 2024 midyear outlook: building portfolios for a more volatile macroeconomic backdrop
Goldman Sachs’ Christian Mueller-Glissmann and Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo discuss their outlooks for asset classes and portfolios heading into the second half of the year, as well as medium- and longer-term asset allocation shifts investors might make to accommodate a more dynamic macroeconomic backdrop.
Tue, 18 Jun 2024 - 483 - Power surge: AI, renewable energy, and the future of electricity
The demand for power, driven in part by the rise of generative artificial intelligence, is set to grow to levels not seen in a generation. Goldman Sachs Research’s Carly Davenport, Alberto Gandolfi, and Brian Singer discuss the drivers behind their forecast of a surge in global power demand and the investments required to meet that demand. Related articles on AI include AI is showing ‘very positive’ signs of eventually boosting GDP and productivity and Generative AI could raise global GDP by 7%. For more: Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Tue, 11 Jun 2024 - 482 - Central bank divergence: Why it's happening and why it matters
The Federal Reserve has historically led a relatively synchronized monetary policy cycle across the major economies, but this cycle seems to be shaping up differently. Goldman Sachs' Chief Economist and Head of Goldman Sachs Research Jan Hatzius, Peter Praet, former chief economist of the European Central Bank, and Maurice Obstfeld, former chief economist of the IMF, discuss the implications of central bank divergence for economies and markets. This episode explores the latest Top of Mind report, Central Bank Divergence: Room to Run?
Tue, 04 Jun 2024 - 481 - Can private equity bounce back?
On this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Goldman Sachs Research’s Alex Blostein joins moderator Allison Nathan to discuss the challenges and opportunities facing the private equity industry. Nathan also speaks with Global Banking & Markets’ Mike Nickols and Gina Lytle who share their perspectives on the types of deals that are happening today. For more, read Private Equity Inflection Point, a new report from Goldman Sachs Investment Banking, which explores the strategic and financing opportunities in the private equity industry.
Tue, 28 May 2024 - 480 - Is China’s rebound for real?
After better-than-expected economic data kicking off the year, and a blistering start for the equity market, where does China go from here? Goldman Sachs Research’s Hui Shan and Kinger Lau discuss the evolution of China’s economy and capital markets.
Tue, 21 May 2024 - 479 - How AI, the energy transition, and the future of work are shaping impact investing
Is it possible to have a positive impact through investing without giving up on returns? Brian Singer of Goldman Sachs Research and Greg Shell of Goldman Sachs Asset Management discuss the long-term trends shaping impact investing and the investment opportunities in the space.
Tue, 14 May 2024 - 478 - Is the UK economy finally turning the corner?
Goldman Sachs Research's Jari Stehn joins Charlotte Keenan of the firm's Office of Corporate Engagement to discuss the UK economy’s unique economic challenges, its path forward, and the role that small businesses can play in bolstering growth. To learn how the UK’s small businesses could help support the UK economy, read Generation Growth: The Small Business Manifesto.
Tue, 07 May 2024 - 477 - Why Treasury auctions — and rising deficits — are becoming a focal point for markets and investors
Recent weakness in US Treasury bond auctions have become a focal point for markets. Goldman Sachs’ Jonny Fine and Alec Phillips discuss the implications for markets, yields, and fiscal deficits. And if you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.
Tue, 30 Apr 2024 - 476 - Weighing the GLP-1 Market
The newest generation of GLP-1 drugs are being hailed by some as “miracle drugs” for the treatment of obesity. But GLP-1s are expensive, insurance coverage is limited, and not everyone with obesity can and or wants to take them. In this episode, which is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report, obesity medicine physician Dr. Fatima Cody Stanford and Jonathan Gruber, professor of economics and chairman of the Economics Department at MIT, discuss how large the addressable market for GLP-1s actually is and the implications for US fiscal health. If you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.
Tue, 23 Apr 2024 - 475 - Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates
Goldman Sachs Research’s US Chief Economist David Mericle explains why worries over overheating inflation are overblown and why the outlook for US economic growth remains relatively strong. And if you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.
Tue, 16 Apr 2024 - 474 - Global insurers turn to private credit — and AI
Where do the world’s largest investors see investment opportunities? Against a more constructive macroeconomic environment, insurers appear to be more willing to take on risk in their portfolios. Goldman Sachs’ Mike Siegel and Matt Armas discuss where insurers see opportunities and risks, and other findings from their 13th annual Global Insurance Survey.
Tue, 09 Apr 2024 - 473 - Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace on long-term investing, succession planning, and leadership lessons
Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace discusses the firm’s distinct investment process and culture, how he’s thinking about macro trends, and his lessons for leadership. Lovelace, whose grandfather Jonathan Bell Lovelace founded the firm in 1931, recently stepped down at the privately held firm as vice chair and president and continues as a portfolio manager. If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.
Tue, 02 Apr 2024 - 472 - Are the largest US stocks too dominant?
The US stock market is more concentrated than it’s been in decades, with a small number of stocks accounting for an unusually large share of market capitalization. While it’s making some investors uneasy, Ben Snider, a senior strategist on the US portfolio strategy team in Goldman Sachs Research, and Peter Callahan, who covers the US technology, media, and telecommunications markets business in Global Banking & Markets, point out on Goldman Sachs Exchanges that these stocks' valuations reflect strong earnings. If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.
Tue, 26 Mar 2024 - 471 - Global transit & trade: in rough waters
Transit on the seas — the planet’s most important means of trade — has become more fraught amid geopolitical and climate-related disruptions, particularly in the Red Sea. In this episode, which is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s Top of Mind report, Admiral James Stavridis and DHL Group's CEO Tobias Meyer discuss the factors driving maritime risks today and the threats to global trade.
Tue, 19 Mar 2024 - 470 - High mortgage rates, limited inventory continue to challenge the US housing market
High mortgage rates and a limited supply of homes have created one of the tightest markets in decades. Goldman Sachs Research’s Roger Ashworth explains the supply-and-demand dynamics that are shaping the US housing market and the outlook for 2024.
Tue, 12 Mar 2024 - 469 - What’s ahead for retail: how retail CEOs are navigating a more complex environment
Retailers are facing a more complex environment in 2024, say Goldman Sachs’ Tim Ingrassia, co-chairman of Global Banking & Markets’ Global Mergers & Acquisitions business, and Vishaal Rana, a managing director in the Cross Markets Consumer Retail Group, who discuss the deal-making landscape and the challenges facing investors and consumers. Ingrassia and Rana also join Ted Decker, chairman, CEO, and president of The Home Depot, and Dave Kimbell, the CEO of Ulta Beauty, on a panel held at the annual Retail Industry Leaders Association CEO Forum, to discuss the industry’s challenges and opportunities.
Tue, 05 Mar 2024 - 468 - Beyond roads, bridges, and tunnels: the megatrends shaping infrastructure investments
Climate change, artificial intelligence, shifting supply chains, and population growth are among the broader forces that have boosted the returns — and popularity — of infrastructure investments. Goldman Sachs’ Teresa Mattamouros explains the implications for investors on the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Wed, 28 Feb 2024 - 467 - Dimensional’s Founder and Chairman David Booth on being an index pioneer, working with Nobel laureates, and investing through uncertainty
David Booth, founder and chairman of Dimensional Fund Advisors, reflects on his career in applying the finance theory he learned at the University of Chicago’s business school – which now bears his name – to the world of asset management.
Fri, 23 Feb 2024 - 466 - Shifting supply and demand dynamics buffer oil market
Oil prices have remained relatively rangebound despite rising geopolitical tensions. Goldman Sachs Research’s Daan Struyven, head of oil research, explains the shifting supply and demand dynamics that have muted the likelihood of large prices spikes.
Wed, 21 Feb 2024 - 465 - 2024: the year of elections
With voters representing over half the world’s population — in the US, Europe, India, and beyond — expected to head to the polls this year, Richard Haass, former president of the Council on Foreign Relations, and Timothy Garton Ash, professor of European Studies at the University of Oxford, explain the implications of key elections around the world. The episode breaks down 2024 elections that is the topic of Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report.
Tue, 13 Feb 2024 - 464 - Investing in a post-modern ‘super cycle’
Longer-term structural changes in economic activity, policy, and society can have a bigger impact on investment opportunities than the shorter-term hot-button issues of the moment, explains Goldman Sachs Research’s Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist, and head of macro research in Europe. In this episode, Oppenheimer explains the factors driving what he sees as the current post-modern super cycle, the investment implications, and findings from his latest book, Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Market.
Tue, 06 Feb 2024 - 463 - The Future of Four Wheels: Episode 4, How a New Kind of Car Will Change Our World
In the final episode of our four-part special series, we look at how infrastructure and the built environment will change cars as evolve into zero-emission places we can sleep, watch TV, and work.
Thu, 01 Feb 2024 - 462 - The Future of Four Wheels: Episode 3, The New New-Car Business
In the third episode of our four-part special series, we delve into the ways carmakers new and old have to think about raising capital, corporate structure, and vertical integration.
Wed, 31 Jan 2024 - 461 - The Future of Four Wheels: Episode 2, Building the Car of the Future
In the second episode of our four-part special series, we go deep into how the production of the car is changing, from new manufacturing methods to the critical role batteries play to the vital importance of new metals like cobalt, lithium, and manganese.
Tue, 30 Jan 2024 - 460 - The Future of Four Wheels: Episode 1, The Twin Revolution
In the first episode of our four-part special series, we take a close look at the two fundamental changes that are upending the auto industry: electrification and autonomy. Both rely on a complete rethinking of how cars are designed, engineered, and built. Those changes, in turn, require massive shifts in supply chains, labor pipelines, and corporate organization.
Mon, 29 Jan 2024 - 459 - Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon on the global economy, the deal-making environment, and the firm’s strategic priorities
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon shares his view on the global economy, what’s top of mind for business leaders, and why he believes inflation still has the potential to be “stickier” than the market expects.
Tue, 23 Jan 2024 - 458 - America Powers On: Why US equities are still poised to outperform in 2024
Goldman Sachs’ Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, head of the Investment Strategy Group (ISG) and chief investment officer of GS Wealth Management, shares ISG’s 2024 outlook, America Powers On, and her recommendations for clients in the year ahead.
Thu, 18 Jan 2024 - 457 - US presidential elections outlook: Implications for policy and markets
As the primary season in the US presidential election kicks off this month, Goldman Sachs’ Joe Wall from the Office of Government Affairs and Alec Phillips, chief US political economist in Goldman Sachs Research, explain the issues at stake and implications for policies and markets.
Tue, 09 Jan 2024 - 456 - KKR’s Henry Kravis on private equity, culture, and global markets
In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors, Henry Kravis, co-founder and co-executive chairman of KKR, discusses the evolution of the private equity industry and KKR’s journey through that transition, the lessons he’s learned from leading the firm, and his views on the economy and markets.
Fri, 05 Jan 2024 - 455 - Uncharted territory: Navigating a ‘geopolitical recession’
Against a backdrop of tense US-China relations and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, Washington and Wall Street are increasingly worried about the same thing: geopolitics. In this episode, Jared Cohen, president of Global Affairs at Goldman Sachs, and Ian Bremmer, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, explore the ways in which geopolitics are affecting the global balance of power, the global credibility gap, and what that means for companies and investors.
Wed, 03 Jan 2024 - 454 - Asset allocation outlook: The case for greater portfolio diversification in 2024
As fears over inflation and interest rates start to moderate, the case for taking on more risk may be rising. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, who heads asset allocation research in Goldman Sachs Research, and Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-chief investment officer of the multi-asset solutions business in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, explain their outlooks for asset classes and portfolio strategies.
Wed, 20 Dec 2023 - 453 - Focus on financials: Why banks and asset managers are constructive about the economy in 2024
How is the financial services sector, often seen as a bellwether for the economy, coping with inflation, interest rates, and greater regulatory pressures? Goldman Sachs Research’s Richard Ramsden and Alex Blostein discuss their outlook for banks and asset managers.
Mon, 18 Dec 2023 - 452 - Middle East risks
In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Edward P. Djerejian, former US Ambassador to Israel and Syria, and former US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, and Emile Hokayem, Director of Regional Security and Senior Fellow for Middle East Security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, break down the risks of the Middle East conflict and explain how it could erupt into a wider regional or even broader war. This episode is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report, Middle East Risks.
Fri, 15 Dec 2023 - 451 - M&A in 2024: Navigating opportunities and challenges
After a slow start to 2023, deal-makers are starting to return to the negotiating table. Goldman Sachs’ Stephan Feldgoise and Mark Sorrell, the co-heads of Global Mergers & Acquisitions in Global Banking & Markets, explain the M&A outlook for the year ahead.
Tue, 12 Dec 2023 - 450 - Blackstone’s Kathleen McCarthy on the forces shaping the real estate industry
As global co-head of real estate at Blackstone, Kathleen McCarthy has helped grow the firm’s real estate assets under management to more than $330 billion. In a conversation moderated by Goldman Sachs’ Alison Mass, Kathleen shares her journey to becoming one of the leading investors in the real estate industry, the forces shaping key sectors of the market, and her advice to the next generation of leaders.
Tue, 05 Dec 2023 - 449 - What China’s struggling property sector means for the global economy and markets
China’s property sector has remained under pressure, hobbling the country’s recovery and weighing on global economic growth. In this episode, Goldman Sachs Research’s Kenneth Ho, Asia credit strategist, Hui Shan, chief China economist, and Yi Wang, head of the China real estate team, discuss the implications and the road ahead.
Tue, 28 Nov 2023 - 448 - What’s the outlook for deal-making, corporate and investor sentiment, and markets?
In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Dan Dees, Jim Esposito, and Ashok Varadhan, the co-heads of Goldman Sachs' Global Banking & Markets business, discuss their views on the markets, corporate and investor sentiment, and the outlook for deal-making. They also share their thoughts about the direction of the industry as well as their leadership and career advice.
Tue, 21 Nov 2023 - 447 - Why the global economy and markets can continue to outperform in 2024
Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius, the firm's chief economist and head of Goldman Sachs Research, and Dominic Wilson, senior advisor in the Global Markets Research Group, discuss their outlook and the findings from their recently published 2024 macro outlook entitled, The Hard Part is Over.
Tue, 14 Nov 2023 - 446 - BlackRock’s Tony Kim on the ‘dawn of a new intelligence era’
In a conversation moderated by Goldman Sachs’ Michael Brandmeyer, BlackRock’s Tony Kim, head of tech sector fundamental equities, shares his views on the technology ecosystem, public and private valuations, and the impact of artificial intelligence and quantum computing.
Fri, 10 Nov 2023 - 445 - The $100 billion opportunity: How anti-obesity drugs are reshaping healthcare and consumer behavior
Goldman Sachs Research’s Chris Shibutani and Jason English explain the business and investor implications of the latest anti-obesity medications and their ripple effects in the healthcare industry and beyond.
Tue, 07 Nov 2023 - 444 - Impactive Capital’s private equity approach to ESG-oriented activism
Lauren Taylor Wolfe, co-founder and managing partner of Impactive Capital, explains why taking a collaborative, private equity approach as an ESG-oriented activist investor leads to sustainable, long-term returns.
Fri, 03 Nov 2023 - 443 - Is US outperformance at a turning point?
The US has had an exceptional decade. US economic growth and equities have outperformed, and the dollar’s global role remains unchallenged. But can this run continue? In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Rebecca Patterson, former chief investment strategist at Bridgewater Associates, Jean Boivin, head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, and Goldman Sachs Research’s Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist, discuss whether the US equity outperformance of the last decade can be repeated over the next decade. This episode breaks down a topic hit on in the recent Top of Mind report.
Wed, 01 Nov 2023 - 442 - Unlocking the AI M&A Supercycle
The rapid rise in adoption of generative AI is spurring companies of all sizes to rethink their strategic plans for growth. Goldman Sachs Investment Banking’s Jung Min and Matt Lucas explain how gen AI is reshaping the dealmaking landscape and discuss findings from their report, “Navigating the AI Era.”
Tue, 24 Oct 2023 - 441 - Commercial real estate risks
US commercial real estate has been hit by the surge in interest rates and a pullback in lending from regional banks. Scott Rechler, chairman and CEO of real estate investment firm RXR, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, professor of real estate and finance at Columbia Business School, break down the risks in the commercial real estate crisis that were the topic of the recent Top of Mind report, Commercial real estate risks.
Tue, 17 Oct 2023 - 440 - Implications of a higher-for-longer rate regime
Global bond yields have moved sharply higher in recent weeks, setting the stage for a higher-for-longer rate regime. Goldman Sachs Research’s Praveen Korapaty, chief interest rates strategist, and Global Banking & Markets’ Anshul Sehgal, co-head of US interest rate products trading, explain the implications for economic growth, investors, and markets.
Wed, 11 Oct 2023 - 439 - General Catalyst CEO Hemant Taneja on mission-driven investing, health assurance, and AI’s transformation advantage
General Catalyst CEO Hemant Taneja shares his insights on the venture capital landscape, society’s digital transformation, and the firm’s mission-based approach to investing in the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors.
Fri, 06 Oct 2023 - 438 - Why most Americans aren’t saving enough for retirement
An improving economic backdrop is helping to bolster retirement savings but Americans are facing a raft of financial challenges. A retirement plan and recent legislation can help manage the competing financial priorities and unexpected expenses that typically crowd out saving for retirement, explains Mike Moran, pension strategist in Goldman Sachs’ Asset & Wealth Management business, on Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Tue, 03 Oct 2023 - 437 - The IPO market’s soft opening
Signs of life in the global IPO market are spurring investor optimism for a broader recovery. On Goldman Sachs Exchanges, David Ludwig, global head of equity capital markets at Goldman Sachs’ Global Banking & Markets, shares his outlook for the IPO market and the market dynamics for companies and investors.
Tue, 26 Sep 2023 - 436 - Tech companies are investing in growth
After a period of cost cutting and layoffs — and buoyed by generative AI tailwinds — software and internet companies are starting to invest for growth, say Goldman Sachs Research’s Eric Sheridan and Kash Rangan on the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Tue, 19 Sep 2023 - 435 - Emerging market equities poised to overtake developed market equities
Developed market equities have long dominated global equity markets, but that’s set to change in the coming decades. Kevin Daly, co-head of CEEMEA Economics in Goldman Sachs Research, explains why EM capital markets are likely to rise significantly.
Fri, 15 Sep 2023 - 434 - How companies, private equity firms, and institutional investors are navigating the global economy
Goldman Sachs’ Co-head of Global Banking & Markets Jim Esposito explains how companies and investing clients are navigating markets and the global economy in the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Tue, 12 Sep 2023 - 433 - A conversation with Renaissance Technologies CEO Peter Brown
In this special episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors, Peter Brown, CEO of Renaissance Technologies, talks about his career and building the hedge fund company. He also recounts how the firm navigated market crises such as the “quant quake” and the Global Financial Crisis, and describes how computer models and algorithms have long played a role in Renaissance’s growth.
Mon, 11 Sep 2023 - 432 - The Fed is likely finished hiking rates as the US avoids recession
Worries that rising inflation will force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates later this year appear to be fading amid encouraging signs in the jobs market. Goldman Sachs Research’s Chief U.S. Economist David Mericle shares his views on the U.S. economy, inflation, and the Fed’s path from here.
Thu, 07 Sep 2023 - 431 - The economic potential of closing gender and racial gaps
Goldman Sachs Research’s Sharon Bell and Gizelle George-Joseph discuss the progress, challenges, and opportunities facing women and Black Americans, respectively, and why reducing racial, gender, and economic inequities could ultimately raise global growth over the long term.
Tue, 22 Aug 2023 - 430 - The music industry’s turning point
The music industry is on the verge of another major structural change, so what should listeners, artists, and industry professionals expect over the years to come? Goldman Sachs Research’s Lisa Yang discusses her latest Music in the Air report which analyzes how streaming, artificial intelligence, and changing listener behavior are affecting the industry.
Fri, 18 Aug 2023 - 429 - BlackRock’s Rick Rieder on his career, the markets, and investing in the current environment
As the Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income for BlackRock, Rick Rieder and his team are responsible for about $2.4 trillion of assets. In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors, Rieder shares his views on the markets, the strength of the U.S. economy, and where he’s finding investment opportunities.
Thu, 17 Aug 2023 - 428 - Corporate credit concerns
Higher interest rates are making it more expensive for companies to borrow money. So what could that mean for the health of corporate America? Saba Capital Management’s Boaz Weinstein, founder and CIO, and Goldman Sachs’ Lotfi Karoui, chief credit strategist, discuss the outlook for U.S. credit markets. This episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report.
Tue, 15 Aug 2023 - 427 - Germany: a country at the crossroads
Germany slipped into a technical recession earlier this year as the country struggles with a weaker manufacturing sector, high inflation and a war on its doorsteps. In this episode, Wolfgang Fink, CEO of Goldman Sachs for Germany and Austria, explains how German companies and investors are adapting to the macro and market pressures.
Tue, 08 Aug 2023 - 426 - Why the U.K.’s high inflation has global implications
More than any other advanced economy, the U.K. has been squeezed by sharply higher prices, but new data shows that inflation may be starting to fall. In this episode, Goldman Sachs Research’s Jari Stehn, chief European economist, and George Cole, head of European rates strategy, explain why the U.K. faces a “confluence of shocks,” why inflation is likely to remain elevated, and what the implications of the U.K.’s inflation problems may mean for yields across the Euro area and globally.
Tue, 01 Aug 2023 - 425 - Man Group CEO Luke Ellis on hedge funds, quantitative strategies and lessons in leadership
Since Luke Ellis took the helm as CEO of Man Group, a global active investment management firm with a significant hedge fund offering, the firm’s assets under management have almost doubled to around $145 billion. In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors, Goldman Sachs’ John Storey speaks with Ellis about his perspectives on the hedge fund industry, his views on the markets and the global economy, and what’s he’s learned over his career.
Tue, 25 Jul 2023 - 424 - What’s next for China’s economy?
China's emergence from Covid lockdowns was expected to boost the global economy. But a string of disappointing data is giving investors, policymakers and market watchers a new reason to worry. Goldman Sachs Research’s Hui Shan, chief China economist, explains the drivers behind the outlook for the world’s second-largest economy.
Fri, 21 Jul 2023 - 423 - Generative AI: hype, or truly transformative?
Investor interest in generative AI technology has surged. But is the hype and market pricing around the technology warranted? In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Conviction’s Sarah Guo, NYU’s Gary Marcus and Goldman Sachs Research’s Kash Rangan and Eric Sheridan discuss the technology’s disruptive potential.
Tue, 18 Jul 2023 - 422 - Why 'everything aligns' for Japanese stocks
Goldman Sachs Research’s Bruce Kirk, chief Japan equity strategist, explains the drivers behind the rally in Japan’s equity market and the state of the country’s economy.
Tue, 11 Jul 2023 - 421 - Why global equities are poised for “fat and flat” returns
Global equity markets have performed relatively well in the first half of the year, but can this performance last? Goldman Sachs Research’s Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist and head of macro research in Europe, explains why equity returns are likely to remain relatively flat from here.
Mon, 03 Jul 2023 - 420 - What’s ahead for the U.S. economy?
The U.S. economy has shown signs of surprising resilience this year, despite concerns over inflation, recession and the Fed’s path from here. In the latest episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, David Mericle, chief U.S. economist in Goldman Sachs Research, explains why he’s generally optimistic that the U.S. economy can avoid a recession and achieve a soft landing.
Wed, 28 Jun 2023 - 419 - GQG’s Rajiv Jain on bold moves, growth of capital and global markets
Since GQG Partners’ Chairman and CIO Rajiv Jain co-founded the global boutique asset management firm in 2016, the company has grown to more than $100 billion in assets under management. In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors, Jain discusses his approach to managing portfolios and building teams, as well as his views on the macroeconomic and investment landscape.
Tue, 20 Jun 2023 - 418 - The Markets: What the Fed’s hawkish pause means for markets
Breaking down the latest decisions from the Fed and the ECB, as well as how corporates are navigating the current economic climate, Jonathan Fine, head of Investment Grade Syndicate in the Americas in Goldman Sachs' Global Banking & Markets, joins our latest episode of The Markets, a new weekly podcast from Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Fri, 16 Jun 2023 - 417 - An inside look at family offices’ investing strategies
Family offices have long managed the financial affairs of the world's wealthiest families. In this episode, Meena Flynn and Sara Naison-Tarajano from Goldman Sachs’ Asset & Wealth Management business, and Ken Hirsch and Tony Pasquariello from Global Banking & Markets, break down the findings of the firm’s latest Family Office survey, Eyes on the Horizon.
Tue, 13 Jun 2023 - 416 - The Markets: Why the AI-driven tech rally has legs
Investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence has driven equity markets higher, but does the current rally have legs? In this week’s Markets podcast from Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Sung Cho, co-head of Tech Investing for Fundamental Equity in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, explains the factors and outlook for the sector.
Fri, 09 Jun 2023 - 415 - How countries and companies are reshaping their supply chains
How are countries and companies reshaping their supply chains for a new era of global trade? In this episode, Andrew Tilton, chief Asia Pacific economist in Goldman Sachs Research, Luke Barrs from the Fundamental Equity business in Asset Management, and Richard Hill, chairman of the board at Marvell Technology, discuss the macro pressures and geopolitics that are affecting global supply chains, as well as the impact on the investment landscape.
Tue, 06 Jun 2023 - 414 - The Markets: What’s next for U.S. Treasuries
Discussing what’s next for U.S. treasury issuance as debt ceiling concerns fade, the Fed’s next move, and underlying trends in U.S. equity performance this year, Beth Hammack, co-head of the Global Financing Group in Goldman Sachs’ Global Banking & Markets, joins our latest episode of The Markets, a new weekly podcast from Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
Fri, 02 Jun 2023 - 413 - Daunting debt limit dynamics
In this episode, Stephen Kaplan, associate professor at George Washington University, Alec Phillips, Goldman Sachs Research’s chief political economist, and David Beers, former head of sovereign credit ratings at S&P, who oversaw the rating agency’s U.S. credit rating downgrade in 2011, dig into the history and mechanics of the U.S. debt limit and explore whether the repeated brinkmanship around raising the debt limit could undermine the value of U.S. assets.
Tue, 30 May 2023 - 412 - The Markets: Are markets pricing in the potential of a default?
Debt ceiling discussions are the primary focus of markets this week but equity and bond markets are reacting in very different ways, explains Candice Tse, a managing director in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, on The Markets podcast.
Fri, 26 May 2023
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