Investment Insights

Reviewing the outcome of the recent UN Climate Summit, Climate Change Lead Thibaud Clisson tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that amid the mixed results, there was progress on greater transparency in carbon markets and measures to tackle climate change fallout in developing countries. They also discuss hopes that next year’s COP conference can make progress on commitments to transitioning away from fossil fuels.

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The arrival of a more protectionist US administration favouring deregulation and fossil fuels may be seen as hindering the energy transition and climate action. Ed Lees, Co-head of our Environmental Strategies group, explains why it is not  that simple. He talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the countervailing forces such as state-level – not federal – environmental standards, the hard-to-dispute economics of green energy, and the jobs that current policies have created.

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What are the implications of Donald Trump re-entering the White House with his Republican party in control of both chambers of the US Congress? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast on these questions with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.

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With the end of 2024 six weeks away and 2025 dawning with the promise of wide-ranging changes under a new US administration as well as further key interest rate cuts, what are the chances that US equities will continue to stand out? Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Christian Fay, Senior Portfolio Manager for US and Global Equities in Boston, discuss these and other questions in this week’s edition.

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While debate may rage over the feasibility of the Paris Agreement goals on containing climate change, it is clear to many investors that economies are inevitably moving towards net zero emissions and many policymakers are legislating in the realisation that the transition is coming. Jakob Thomä, Research Director at the Inevitable Policy Response, tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that investors are taking the view climate change is a risk factor to be tackled now. 

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Cedric Scholtes, Head of Sovereign Bonds, Inflation & Rates talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the factors that have led to the recent rise in yields of US Treasuries and what may happen next.  At a time of multiple possible paths for US policy rates they discuss the state of the US labour market, how markets are evaluating future fiscal policy and the outlook for inflation. 

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Capturing drivers of stock performance via ‘factors’ such as value or low volatility and investing in them systematically continues to gain ground among investors. Carmine De Franco, Head of Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, explore the advantages of quantitative investing as a source of diverse elements of performance.

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Markets are focused on the resilience of the US economy, the scope for post-election policymaking in the US and recent developments in China when reviewing the near and medium-term outlook for developed market equities. Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, discuss our latest equity update.

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The market for green and social bonds has matured in recent years. It now boasts numerous  issuers from diverse sectors, a broad range of maturities and performance similar to that of traditional – corporate and government – bond markets, Portfolio Manager Arnaud-Guilhem Lamy to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the merits of green and social bonds.  

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Recent interest rate cuts have added to a constellation that should allow European small-cap stocks to continue to outshine large caps, Portfolio Manager Mathieu Bernard tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris on this episode of our weekly podcast. The favourable setting includes earnings per share growth ahead of that of large caps, attractive valuations and potential for dividend growth.

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Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jon Stephenson, Senior Portfolio Manager for the healthcare sector, and Daniel Morris, Chief Global Strategist. Jon talks about the opportunities he sees arising from healthcare innovation.   

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How and why are investors using thematic investment strategies? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Mark Buckley, Global Head of Investment Management with Coalition Greenwich, and Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre.

To read the full report, visit our 2024 Thematics Barometer page.

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Stewardship is the direct engagement between us, BNP Paribas Asset Management, as investors and the companies we invest in. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Rachel Crossley, Head of Stewardship for Europe within the Global Sustainability Centre at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.

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Emerging market debt has had a strong run since the start of 2024 with positive performance across the universe of sovereign issuers. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Alaa Bushehri, Head of Emerging Market Debt at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.

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Inequality may not be an obvious factor when assessing the prospects of a company. Yet, it is financially material, impacting productivity and well-being. As such, it can make a crucial contribution to a healthy society and stable economy. Equality Lead and ESG Analyst Sindhu Janakiram discusses these issues with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris. Static categories of winners and losers stand in the way of equal opportunity and social mobility.

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In this episode, CMO Pieter Oyenstalks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about fixed maturity plans which allow investors to lock in interest rates for three, five or seven years, thus capturing a regular flow of coupon payments. The plans, which can take the form of a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund (ETF), are timely in that short-term interest rates have now peaked, and leading central banks are beginning to lower them now that economies have plateaued and inflationary pressures in job markets are wearing off.

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In this episode, Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Sustainability Integration Lead Berenice Lasfargues discuss the concept and practice of impact investing, which aims to generate positive social and environmental outcomes alongside financial returns.  They cover the three ingredients of impact investing – intentionality, additionality, and impact management and measurement – and talk about how investors can design and implement their impact strategies.

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Mark Richards, Head of Flexible and Absolute Return in our multi-asset team, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss the recent market turmoil and what might come next.They start with the outlook for the US and whether there is justification for market concerns over an impending recession.

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On this week’s podcast: Mega-cap technology giants have embarked on an ‘arms race’, spending billions of dollars, as they compete for a slice of the rapidly expanding market for artificial intelligence-related products and services.  Derek Glynn, Associate Portfolio Manager for our disruptive technology strategy, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris survey the AI landscape and tackle the questions that matter for investors.

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How has the leveraged loans asset class weathered the vagaries of recent years, what can it offer income-oriented investors, and is this a good time to invest in these floating rate loans?These are some of the questions Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Javier Perez Diaz, Head of Leveraged Loans, tackle on this edition. Other topics include the segment’s diversification benefits,  its solid track record and its role as a hedge against inflation.  

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How can investors implement strategies that align portfolios with the objective of limiting the effects of climate change while preserving or improving financial returns? Taking our recent handbook, Adjusting your approach to net zero and including our wider sustainability framework, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Fabio Pinna, Portfolio Manager Systematic & Quantitative Investment, discuss ways to transition portfolios so that they contribute to net zero greenhouse gas emissions.

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With elections held in large economies such as India and the EU, and more to come elsewhere, particularly in the US, investors might be left wondering how changes of government and in the composition of parliaments would affect the ambitions of countries to mitigate and adapt to the effects of climate change. They can be reassured for the most part, Alex Bernhardt, Global Head of Sustainability Research, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.

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In a world seeking to both preserve biodiversity and decarbonise, natural capital such as forests has a lot to offer. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Maxence Foucault, ESG Specialist and Private Assets Lead, and Celine Claudon, Chief Commercial Officer at BNPP Asset Management-owned IWC. They discuss with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, the process of producing certified wood and its use as a recyclable alternative for plastic packaging and construction steel.

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The scaling back of expectations for the number of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in 2024 has been a feature so far this year.As Mark Richards, Head of Flexible and Absolute Return, points out to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, such action from the Fed could boost the performance of government bonds in multi-asset portfolios, Risks to such a scenario include doubts about the sustainability of high government budget deficits. The resulting search for alternative stores of value could well continue to favour gold.

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In this edition of Talking Heads, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Luca Pagni, Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) Portfolio Manager, discuss the success of fixed income exchange-traded funds, due, as he explains, to the fact that they offer investors access to a diversified and liquid portfolio of bonds at an attractive cost.The discussion also covers innovations including fixed maturity ETFs that combine the benefits of an ETF and the characteristics of a standalone bond with a set maturity date and declining interest-rate risk over time. Another topic is a more active approach to the management of these index-related products.

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With official interest rates in the eurozone having begun their descent and the economy bottoming out,  selected segments of the high-yield bond market remain, in our view, well orientated.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Stef Abelli, European High Yield Portfolio Manager.  Among the topics their discussion covers are the merits of a short duration approach and the sectors whose prospects appear favourable.

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As global growth improves, the outlook for the eurozone with its relatively high exposure to international demand is brightening, Mario Pietrunti, Senior Economist for the eurozone, talks to Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, about the economic outlook for the euro area in this Talking Heads podcast.Further out, challenges loom: weak European competitiveness, geopolitical headwinds, productivity issues, and restrictive central bank monetary policy.

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With the bull market in bonds now behind us and investors looking for effective ways to position portfolios in fixed income, absolute return fixed income strategies offer potential. They seek to reap positive returns regardless of the direction of bond yields.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jay Mistry, Senior Portfolio Manager on our absolute return fixed income team. He tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that appealing features of this approach also include its focus on capital preservation and benefiting from value differences between regions, countries and markets, even if yields are moving higher.  

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The prospect of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve later this year should allow frontier market bonds to build on what has been a months-long run of robust performance according to Guy Tossou, Senior Portfolio Manager for Emerging Market Frontier Debt. Guy tells Andrew Craig, co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, that within the asset class, there are still frontier markets where his investment team continues to see value.

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A growing number of governments and state agencies is turning to the green bond market to fund measures aimed at helping countries to adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate change or tackle issues such as social inequality.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Malika Takhtayeva, ESG analyst, and Ilan Tamsot, Portfolio Manager, as they discuss the sovereign green bond scoring methodology of BNP Paribas Asset Management and today’s green bond market challenges with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.

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Indian equities have seen three years of solid performance amid earnings growth and political continuity. In our view, conditions are in place for further gains as this sprawling economy of 1.44 billion consumers vies to take over from China’s as the world’s second largest.Jayesh Gandhi, Head of India Equities, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, in this episode of Talking Heads that the upbeat outlook for the large services sector, further domestic growth and the reallocation of Indian assets towards equities should underpin the market. Potential risk factors to monitor include rises in energy prices and/or interest rates. Both of which could throw the economy off course. 

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Marketing and media campaigns and celebrity endorsements have boosted consumer demand for anti-obesity drugs, boosting the results of the makers of these weight loss pills. Get the full picture and what it means for food sector investing from Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, on this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.

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With Asia accounting for half of global greenhouse gas emissions and coal responsible for almost 60% of power generation in the region, it is clear that to reach net zero targets globally, Asia needs to be on board. Jane Ho, Head of Stewardship Asia, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, discuss the priorities for Asia when it comes to proxy voting, issuer engagement and policy advocacy.  

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Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, talks to Lorraine Sereyjol-Garros, Head of ETF Business Development, about the prospects for further ‘heady growth’ in the trillion-dollar exchange-traded funds business. Current trends include the emergence of active ETFs.

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Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, and Investment Specialist Shazaan Gaffoor explain the compelling rationale behind investing in stocks of companies progressing towards net zero emissions from their business. An active, diversification-minded approach to evaluating a company's efforts takes into account factors including actual or likely alignment with a future low-carbon economy as well as social risk and inequality.

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On this Talking Heads podcast, Investment Specialist Thibault Malin argues that even in a scenario where interest rates will be cut, as is the consensus expectation for euro rates this year, a variable rate approach still makes sense when running money market funds. As Thibault explains to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, apart from some seasonal redemptions, he does not expect any significant switching out of money market funds into other assets.

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Small is still beautiful and that also applies to US small-capitalisation stocks, Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities in our Boston office, tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, on this Talking Heads podcast. He notes small caps are attractively valued relative to large caps which have been experiencing several months of solid gains, led by a number of US tech giants.  

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In this edition of our Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, talks to Justin Winter, Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, about sustainability-related investing in water, the reasons behind the inflows into this asset class and the outlook for water-related businesses in a segment that has been marked by innovation and a steady performance.

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Working out the best investment strategy en route to greater sustainability can be challenging as you strive to preserve financial returns while considering risks and goals around issues such as climate change and greater equality. On this Talking Heads podcast, Sophie Debehogne, Senior Client Solutions Manager, and Maurice Kraaijenbrink, Head of Portfolio Design on the Solutions team, set out their stall for Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.

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Markets are abuzz with the promise of artificial intelligence, but there also are concerns that the sprawl of related technology could sting via heavy demands on resources. Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, gets an update on this and other energy transition topics from Ed Lees, Co-Head of our Environmental Strategy Group.

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Robust domestic demand, relatively low external debt and a now sound and simplified monetary policy strengthen the investment case for Turkish assets in 2024. On this Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discusses Turkey’s prospects with Huseyin Akar at TEB Asset Management, a BNP Paribas Asset Management subsidiary.

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Investors with a penchant for yield and income should consider US investment-grade bonds, an asset class that stands to benefit from a healthy economic backdrop, lower interest rates, and robust demand. Yrieix de James, US Investment Grade Portfolio Manager, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris on this week’s Talking Heads podcast why this is the case.  

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While developments in the Chinese economy are not rosy, they are not as bleak as some make them out to be; selected areas are still offering attractive opportunities. So David Choa, Head of Greater China Equities, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, on our weekly Talking Heads podcast.

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Building on a solid performance in 2023, European high-yield bonds stand to do well in 2024 given favourable macroeconomic and technical factors such as falling market interest rates and an excess of investor demand amid relatively limited supply, argues Olivier Monnoyeur, Global Head of High Yield, on this Talking Heads podcast.

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Please note that podcasts from BNP Paribas Asset Management may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for listeners without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the speakers as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. This podcast does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.

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The last three years have seen considerable market volatility caused by factors including the Covid pandemic, government subsidies, supply chain pressures, and runaway inflation.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast about absolute return fixed income investing with Portfolio Manager Abhijit Korde and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.

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The outlook for traditional 60-40 portfolios has improved now that bonds have reasserted their value as an investment asset following a loss of appeal amid years of ultra-low interest rates.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Sergey Pergamentsev, Head of Structured Management, as he discusses longer-term multi-asset investing with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.

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We published the first iteration of our Global Sustainability Strategy (GSS) in 2019. It laid the foundations for the implementation of sustainability across our organisation. In this podcast, Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, presents our Global Sustainablity Strategy 2023-2025. She discusses with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre,  how recent developments in sustainability-related investing are reflected in the evolution of our strategy.

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The start of 2024 sees an economic environment where growth in developed economies is slowing as restrictive monetary policy makes itself felt. Tonko Gast, founder and CEO of Dynamic Credit Group and Portfolio Manager, discusses the asset class with Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre Daniel Morris in this Talking Heads podcast.

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There is value left in eurozone investment-grade corporate bonds even after a solid 2023. Scope for looser monetary policy from the European Central Bank will likely be one of the key drivers, potentially paving the way to returns of 6-6.5% in 2024, argues Victoria Whitehead, Head of Investment-Grade Credit, on this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.Continued inflows reflecting a search for yield among investors aligned with the prospect of companies issuing fewer bonds due to fewer merger and acquisition deals bode well for the segment in 2024.

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Amid growing hopes  that the US economy will land softly in 2024, financial markets are pricing looser monetary sooner than expected. John Bradley, Head of Foreign Exchange, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss the prospects for the main developed market currencies in this environment. On this Talking Heads podcast, John highlights the likelihood of the US dollar weakening, especially  against the Japanese yen, as markets anticipate changes in interest rate differentials.

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In this episode of our Talking Heads podcast, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss our 2024 Investment Outlook “Stepping into a new reality.”  The outlook covers the shift in the macroeconomic setting that investors can look forward to and what this means for asset allocation.  

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As elsewhere, in Asia the environmental challenges created by climate change is driving a search for new ways of living and doing business. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Oscar Yang, Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.  

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In the context of market volatility driven by high inflation, rising interest rates and (geo)political uncertainty, infrastructure debt has shown itself to be resilient.   On this Talking Heads podcast, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, talks to Stephanie Passet and Vincent Guillaume, Deputy Heads for Infrastructure Debt.   

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How can investors invest in listed equities benefiting from the transition to a more sustainable economy? On this Talking Heads podcast, Andy Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, talks to Hubert Aarts, Deputy Chief Investment Officer for listed equities and Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, about the outlook and the opportunities in areas from renewable energy, environmentally friendly buildings and green transportation to sustainable housing and offices.   

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Among Asian emerging market (EM) equities, many investors have focused this year on what they see as an usually lacklustre Chinese economy – traditionally an EM growth engine. The reality, however, is that Beijing’s efforts to re-engineer the economy have led to a situation where support for the economy appears centred more on tackling possible systemic issues than developing new growth engines.   

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Resilient domestic demand and record-high profit margins at cash-rich companies have helped shield the eurozone economy from much of the effect of higher interest rates. However, the full impact is likely to be felt in 2024. A slowdown could lead to a larger-than-expected deceleration in price pressures, potentially setting up the European Central Bank for rate cuts in the second half of 2024. 

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The end of two decades of deflation and wage growth have improved the prospects of the Japanese economy and with it the outlook for Japanese equities.  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Sean Park, Investment Specialist, and Junki Okamoto, Deputy Portfolio Manager.

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With market expectations for a US recession being ‘kicked down the road’, the outlook for US small capitalisation stocks has improved.  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Vincent Nichols, Investment Specialist US Small Caps, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.  

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For investors looking for alternative investments and new sources of income, investing in managed timber and woodland can be an attractive source of stable yields.  Listen to our podcast with Otto Reventlow, CEO, and Asger Strange Olesen, Director ESG Climate and Biodiversity, at BNPP AM majority-owned International Woodland Company.  

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Two factors are driving growing interest in fixed income exchange-traded funds. First, bonds are back with yields at attractive levels relative to the era of low interest rates. Investors can lock in higher yields using a low-cost instrument such as an ETF, as Lorraine Sereyjol-Garros, Head of ETF Sales, explains to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris. 

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Money market funds have been in favour as central banks tightened monetary policy. Investment
Specialist Thibault Malin talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the bright outlook for money markets in this Talking Heads podcast.    

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Investors can help to speed climate mitigation and adaptation measures by allocating more and more actively to the protection of ecosystems and natural carbon sinks as well as other pro-climate fields, Thibaud Clisson, Climate Change Lead, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris in the wake of the latest Climate Week NYC and ahead of December’s UN COP28 meeting.  

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What is the best way to actively manage an allocation to large-cap European equities?  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast as Valerie Charriere details a broad-ranging assessment of the fundamentals that matter to her team, such as the structure of the industry a company operates in and competitive advantages in terms of, for example, scale or technology.   

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At around 15%, financial stocks account for a significant part of European equity indices. What is the outlook for the sector now that interest rates have normalised? Jeroen Knol, portfolio manager for European Equities and a European Financials specialist, discusses perspectives with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris in this Talking Heads podcast. 

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The outlook for emerging markets is brighter than it is for developed markets when it comes to growth, inflation and public debt, Jean-Charles Sambor, Head of Emerging Market Debt, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, on our latest Talking Heads podcast. While China may look like the exception now, increasingly firm support from Beijing should trigger a rebound in the next few quarters from the problems of deflation and property market weakness plaguing the economy today. Compared to China, India is likely to see much stronger growth and contained inflation, while improved policies should allow Turkey to do better than it did last year.

On hard currency debt, spreads over US Treasuries are likely to narrow, leaving EM high-yield bonds in particular with scope for outsized returns. Local currency debt is at a turning point as it looks set to reverse last year’s US-dollar-related weakness given the potential for EM central banks to cut policy rates this year and next. As for risks, JC says they were largely priced in during last year’s “perfect storm”. 

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Within the thematic investing approach, climate-focused strategies allow investors to invest in companies with a climate-friendly strategy and so do good while earning a return. Such strategies can enable them to manage future (climate) risk, benefit from long-term opportunities and leverage strong support from regulators and policymakers in the fight against climate change. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Martina Jung, Portfolio Manager for European Equities, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist. They discuss developments since the 2015 Paris Agreement and ways to implement sustainability-related criteria in stock selection and portfolio construction. 

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While the question of peak US policy rates remains unresolved, it could be prudent for investors to start preparing for the time when inflation-busting policy tightening ends and slowing growth and an uptick in unemployment spur the Fed into taking rates back down to a less restrictive level.   Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Ken O’Donnell, Head of Short Duration, as he sets out the outlook for the US economy and the path of interest rates for Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.  

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Sustainability is front and centre in all aspects for our activity as an asset manager. Each year we update investors regularly on our key sustainability objectives. These include the integration of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations into our investments, the alignment of our investments with net zero goals by 2050 and conducting  business responsibly as an asset manager. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, and Andy Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, as they discuss our annual Sustainability Report - Towards a sustainable transition.   

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Our Environmental Strategies Group talk to businesses that, regardless of their size, are making a big impact. In the third of this series we discuss the green hydrogen economy, its  future applications and the wide-ranging potential of hydrogen with Andy Marsh, President and CEO of Plug Power, a global end-to-end green hydrogen provider. Is there more to the clean hydrogen ecosystem than mere hype? He thinks so, but don’t take our word for it. 

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What is the outlook for equities and bonds for the second half of 2023 after six months of worry about prospects for economic growth as central banks tighten monetary policy? Is recession inevitable? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre. 

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Investing in solutions for water-related issues means investing in dealing with long-running phenomena such as climate change.  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Justin who gives Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, examples of climate-related water scarcity and abundance issues.  

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The study of behavioural finance and its findings on the limitations to rational decision making helps explain the role of phenomena in shaping market events. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Aquiles Mosca, Head of Sales, Marketing & Digital at BNP Paribas Asset Management Brazil and a behavioural finance teacher, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.  

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Despite a slowdown in IT spending, US technology stocks are driving the recent rally in US equity markets.  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Derek Glynn, Associate Portfolio Manager for information technology (IT) and communication services in the US equities team in Boston, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre as they discuss the outlook for secular growth and the role of technological advances further effecting profound changes in the way we live, work and play.  

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Achieving a positive impact and contributing to sustainable outcomes, as well as enhancing investment returns, feature as the prime reasons for investors to opt for thematic investing strategies, alongside diversification and risk reduction. On this Talking Heads podcast, Mark Buckley, Head of Investment Management at Coalition Greenwich, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris discuss the second thematic investing research report published by BNP Paribas Asset Management and BNP Paribas Corporate & Institutional Banking in partnership with Coalition Greenwich. 

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While the need to transition the economy to greater sustainability is widely recognised, it is also clear that a wide range of sources are needed to finance it, including private markets.  Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Yann Lagalaye, Head of Ecological Transition and Impact in the Private Assets group, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.  

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As growth in developed economies slows and restrictive monetary policy rates start to bite, investors looking to alternative markets for portfolio diversification and attractive returns could well consider a relatively young, little-known, but high-quality asset class: household loans. Tonko Gast, founder and CEO of Dynamic Credit Group and Portfolio Manager, discusses the asset class with Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre Andrew Craig on this Talking Heads podcast. 

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Conditions in the European high-yield debt market are currently favourable for investors argues Olivier Monnoyeur, Head of High-Yield Debt. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Olivier Monnoyeur, Head of High-Yield Debt and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss positioning in European high-yield debt to meet the challenges ahead. 

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Signals of where we stand in the economic cycle are distorted as the global economy emerges from the unprecedented combination of a global pandemic plus massive quantitative easing and fiscal stimulus. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Mark Richards, Head of Flexible & Absolute Return portfolios in the Multi-Asset and Quantitative Solutions (MAQS) team, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris as they evaluate what matters currently in positioning multi-asset portfolios.

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On behalf of our clients, we act as a steward for the companies in which we invest, to encourage better governance and improve their financial, environmental, and social performance. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Michael Herskovich, Head of Stewardship at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, as they discuss the role stewardship plays in our asset management. 

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Geoff Dailey, Deputy Head of US equities, and Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, discuss recent trends in the US equity market in this edition of Talking Heads. Topics include the turmoil in the US banking sector and the latest earnings reports.    

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How are major global trends such as the drive towards greater sustainability and the reopening of China’s economy working out for European companies? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Steve Sherman, Senior Portfolio Manager, European Equities.

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Now that central banks have boosted official interest rates at an unprecedented pace, the investment environment for bonds has changed completely after 15 years of low to no yields. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Olivier De Larouziere, Chief Investment Officer for Global Fixed Income. He tells Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, the focus is now on capturing the normalised yields, especially given the possibility that central banks will halt their policy tightening in the face of recession, even if inflation does not return to their targets. He sees opportunities in money market funds, but also in investment-grade corporate bonds.

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Among emerging markets, India stands out as a potential source of outperformance as the economy looks set for a growth spurt on the back of government efforts to strengthen its infrastructure and wean it off its dependence on oil and gas imports. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Jayesh Gandhi, Head of India Equities. They discuss the case for a selective approach to emerging market investing and Indian equities in particular. Given the high correlation between GDP growth, corporate profits and equity returns, the market capitalisation of Indian equities could increase by 50-70% over the next three to five years.

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Making investments in infrastructure debt impactful from a sustainability angle requires a perspective that goes beyond an attractive risk-return ratio and obvious green infrastructure assets such as solar plants. On this Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, Investment Director for Infrastructure Debt Stephanie Passet and ESG Specialist and Lead on Private Assets Maxence Foucault discuss the ins and outs of sustainable investing in infrastructure debt[1] in an environment where definitions are still being finetuned and the regulatory framework continues to evolve.

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In times of heightened market volatility and rising policy rates, money market funds offer  investors a haven, where they can park their cash safely in strategies offering liquidity and capital preservation, explains Marc Fleury, Head of Liquidity Solutions. On this Talking Heads podcast, Marc tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that money market funds now pay a 3-5% yield depending on the currency.

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Over the last month, the banking sector has seen a spate of turmoil triggered by concerns over the possible effects of the steep rise in interest rates. In this special edition of our Talking heads podcast, chief market strategist Daniel Morris asks Séverine Piquet, head of credit research, for her assessment of the developments in the financial sector. She points to the kneejerk anxiety in markets and underlines the importance of the ‘measured backstop’ provided by the authorities.

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Bank sector turmoil will likely lead to a reduction in credit in the US, particularly important for start-ups and venture capital investments. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Edward Lees, Environmental Strategies Group co-head, as he shares some of the opportunities he sees in environmentally focused stocks with chief market strategist Daniel Morris.

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Policy rate increases are reverberating across financial markets. This has caused volatility to spike higher, particularly in bond markets. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with portfolio manager absolute return Cedric Bernard-Villeneuve and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They discuss the sensibility of smaller central bank rate rises and the wide opportunity set in the fixed income asset class. Cedric highlights the potential presented by short duration trades and by positioning for steeper bond yield curves.

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Investors combing financial markets in search of safe passage amid rising interest rates and uncertainty over the direction of economies might want to look for a harbour in real estate debt. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Christophe Montcerisier, head of real estate debt, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. Their topics include fundamental characteristics of real estate debt such as its role as an inflation hedge – through the floating rate coupons on the debt – and the predictability of cash flows resulting from the structure of leases.

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High-yield bonds – defined as corporate bonds rated below BBB− or Baa3 by established credit rating agencies – have had a good run since the fourth quarter of 2022. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with William Springman, portfolio manager for US high-yield debt, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss prospects for US high-yield bonds.

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In recent years, food security has become a more prominent issue for consumers and governments, alongside energy security. In this Talking heads podcast, Portfolio Manager Agne Rackauskaite and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris discuss responses to the food security question. They include a rise in food protectionism in the form of export restrictions, near-shoring and re-shoring, government investment in agri-tech and the need for incentives to reduce supply chain losses and food waste.

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As elsewhere, recent years have seen a rise in the importance accorded by investors in Asia to allying their investments to environmental, social and governance objectives. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Jane Ho, head of stewardship at BNP Paribas Asset Management for the Asia Pacific region (APAC), and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the evolving role of our stewardship in Asia.

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Given concerns about a secular rise in inflation and higher policy rates, in addition to question marks about the capacity of traditional asset classes to generate attractive investment returns, the search is on for alternatives. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with David Bouchoucha, head of private assets, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the strategic case for investing in private assets.

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Listen to our quarterly asset allocation podcast with global head of multi-asset Maya Bhandari and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They review the four key determinants of financial market behavior this year and the investment opportunities that follow from that assessment for the main asset classes.  

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Given China‘s pivotal role as the world’s second-largest economy, its recent refocusing on lifting growth should be a tailwind for other economies. On this Talking heads podcast, Zhikai Chen, head of emerging market equities, tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris that nearer neighbours such as Thailand should benefit from more tourism. The new focus on fueling growth should be good news for energy and materials exporters. In China itself, consumption should take over from fixed asset investment as the main growth driver.

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Picking investable assets for a portfolio can be hard. Fundamental analysis focuses on what investors believe will happen in the future. On this Talking heads podcast, senior quantitative analyst Frederic Abergel discusses the basics with chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They then go into how risks are managed in a portfolio and discuss three ways of measuring the performance of a multifactor portfolio.

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After a bright start, US mortgage-backed securities face a sunnier year in which this fixed income asset class could reverse part of the gloomy outcome of a challenging and volatile 2022. In this Talking heads podcast, John Carey, head of structured securities, tells chief market strategist  Daniel Morris that the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) segment now presents a reasonable choice for fixed income investors. It offers the prospect of significant yield pick-up relative to US Treasuries,  high credit quality and stable cash flows in a market environment where recession could cloud the appeal of corporate bonds and equities.

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In what can be expected to still be volatile currency markets, the US dollar looks set to lose further ground in 2023 as its lustre as a high-yielding hedge fades. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with John Bradley, head of foreign exchange, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the dollar’s sizeable correction in recent months and the likelihood that currency markets will see more interest in non-dollar cross rates. 

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We anticipate a better year for emerging market corporate debt on the back of a brighter outlook for China and the wider Asian region. Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Alaa Bushehri, head of emerging market credit, as she tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris that her highest convictions include China real estate, Indian renewables, Macau and selected South Korea sectors.

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