Truth vs Hype

The BJP government's relentless push to impose a Uniform Civil Code comes under the garb of ensuring gender justice across communities - but is marred by the worry that its true aim is to single out minorities. Although the BJP has denied a sectarian agenda, on this episode, we sift the truth from hype.

NDTV exclusively accessed the latest report by US based digital forensics outfit Arsenal Consulting that shows over 40 'Maoist' linked documents were planted on the computer of the late Father Stan Swamy, an accused in the Bhima Koregaon case. On Truth Vs Hype, we unpack the multiple reports by Arsenal Consulting that show crucial evidence, including 'Maoist' letters, were planted by the same hacker on the computers of at least three accused in the Bhima Koregaon case, which raises the question whether the activists were arrested and charged based on fabricated evidence?

While the BJP pulled off a record win in Gujarat, they lost power in Himachal Pradesh despite the PM campaigning heavily in both states. We look at the outcomes in the two states more closely on Truth v Hype, to understand the 'Modi Factor' paradox better - why it works its magic in some states, and not others.

The political storm in Rajasthan is far from over. Speaking exclusively to NDTV, Rajasthan Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot criticised his rival Sachin Pilot, calling him "gaddar (traitor)". The interview has raised a key question - can this infighting within the Congress ever end?

Very recently, the issue of forced conversion was raised in the Supreme Court, to which it noted that if such cases are proven to be true, then it is a serious matter. While a petition has been filed in the court demanding a law against forced conversion, on Truth Vs Hype, we bring you the facts and the myths that are building around the issue .

On the show tonight, behind the scenes of the Congress' Bharat Jodo Yatra - is it the remaking of Rahul Gandhi?

Ram Rahim, the head of the Haryana-based Dera Sacha Sauda who was convicted of rape and murder, has been conducting religious discourses or satsangs from his Ashram in Baghpat district, Uttar Pradesh, while being out on parole. On Truth vs Hype, we look at how a convicted rapist and murderer was let out on parole, ahead of crucial polls in Haryana, and we confront the netas that endorse - and possibly enable - such brazenness. We also bring out what it means for the victims of the crimes he has been jailed for.

Speaking exclusively to NDTV, Congress President Rahul Gandhi, in his first TV interview this election season, said that his party's focus is on "jobs, jobs, jobs and jobs - and the economy." Speaking to NDTV's Sreenivasan Jain at a rally in Rajasthan, Mr Gandhi spoke about why he believes the Rafale fighter jet deal is corrupt, his controversial decision to field candidates all across Uttar Pradesh, and whether he really stands a shot at being the opposition's candidate for Prime Minister.

We profile the two top contests in this elections that could define the battle for Mumbai.

We focus on Naveen Patnaik, Odisha Chief Minister and one of the most reclusive political figures in Indian politics, as he fights his most challenging battle yet.

NDTV speaks to Nationalist Congress Party leader Sharad Pawar on the possible outcome of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

On the show, we profile N Chandrababu Naidu and Jagan Mohan Reddy, the two leaders whose clash in Andhra Pradesh could determine who comes to power in Delhi.

On this week's Truth vs Hype, we examine if the social media code of ethics framed by the Election Commission and social media giants such as Facebook, Twitter and WhatsApp would be effective in fighting fake news.

We analyse Prime Minister Narendra Modi's last minute rush of project inaugurations across the country before elections are announced: Are these projects real or only on paper?

On the show we examine the many unanswered questions surrounding India's air strikes against on terrorist camp in Pakistan.

As Prime Minister Narendra Modi gets ready to roll out the mega farm income scheme, can the government race to meet targets before the poll code kicks in?

On the show, we examine the sharp rise in violence in Jammu and Kashmir in the past five years, and whether it calls for a rethink in India's strategy in the Valley.

A former Ministry of Defence insider challenges the government's claims on the Rafale deal.

In the Budget, the Finance Minister cited the MUDRA lending scheme as an example of the government's success in creating jobs. Is this Truth or Hype?

Priyanka Gandhi Vadra has been appointed the Congress's in-charge of the party's national election campaign in eastern Uttar Pradesh, a region that includes the constituencies of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath. We look at her political profile from the time she was a campaign manager in Karnataka's Bellary.

We travel to battleground Uttar Pradesh, to examine how the BSP-Samajwadi Party alliance is operating on the ground.

Hours after CBI chief Alok Verma resigned following his removal from the top post by a panel led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and a Delhi court asked the agency to investigate its number 2 Rakesh Asthana in a bribery case, former UP chief minister Akhilesh Yadav quipped "who will investigate the CBI?" "There are so many fights happening within the CBI, so many allegations and counter-allegations... Who will probe the CBI?" the Samajwadi Party chief said amid reports that he will be questioned by the CBI in the sand mining scam.

Stringent rules and vigilante attacks have led to thousands of stray cattle being let loose. Has the "cow card" backfired for the Yogi Adityanath government in Uttar Pradesh?

We examine how the high profile Sohrabuddin Sheikh encounter case has collapsed - is politics behind the unravelling?

We examine how the BJP can recover from the loss in the recent assembly elections that saw it lose power in three heartland states.

On Truth vs Hype, we examine the multiple attempts to cover up the truth of the Bulandshahr violence.

On Truth vs Hype, we examine the sensational revelations in the Sohrabuddin encounter case which revive the debate over the role of BJP president Amit Shah.

This week, we track Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan and Rahul Gandhi as they storm each other's bastions.

On the show, we report on the lists of wilful defaulters disclosed by India's top banks.

We travel to Sri Lanka to speak to key players on the coup that has created a political crisis in the island nation.

We examine the firestorm of allegations against top officials of the CBI that has been mired in controversy in the past weeks.

Industrialist Anil Ambani's Reliance Defence and France's Dassault Aviation have supplied multiple justifications for their join venture in the Rafale deal. Do the explanations measure up?

We hit the ground with the two main leaders of the Congress campaign in Madhya Pradesh - Kamal Nath and Jyotiraditya Scindia to ask: can they unite to take on the BJP juggernaut?

On Truth vs Hype, we examine the multiple anomalies in the letters that the police in Pune claim to have seized from activists accused of Maoist links.

As the arrests of 10 activists on charges of Maoist links sparks a debate, we examine the other side of the case -- were the arrests to cover up the real culprits of the Bhima Koregaon violence?

We examine the links between religious cult Sanatan Sanstha and a spate of arrests for murders and terror plots.

We analyse the complex legacy of Atal Bihari Vajpayee, the BJP icon who straddled multiple political spheres.

We examine the impact of the NDTV sting exposing lynching accused admitting their role in incidents of mob attacks in the name of the cow.

We interview the foreign minister of Antigua, the country where alleged fraudster Mehul Choksi has taken refuge, to ask whether India has any hope of bringing him to justice.

Over the course of the past five months some of the worlds best known investors have filed for fraud against a Gurgaon-based real estate firm IREO, accusing its promoter of siphoning off around Rs 10,000 crore. The cases have been in front of Indian investigating agencies for months but so far there has been no action because, the investors allege, the company has political links. We take a close look at the case of IREO on the Truth vs Hype.

On the show, we investigate those responsible for spreading the fake news of child abductions that has led to a spate of mob killings across India.

On the show we explore how political parties claim to be against deadly fake news, but end up amplifying online falsehoods.

This week, we examine whether new rules expanding maternity benefits for women may cause job losses.

The instances of media blackout in Tamil Nadu have been rising. It is a state where simply reporting news that does not suit the establishment can get you taken off air, as experienced by some news channels. At the heart of the government's power in controlling the media is the Tamil Nadu Arasu Cable TV Corporation Ltd's reach. Tamil Nadu's embattled media fraternity is finally coming together, planning a meeting next month to highlight the crisis. But given the climate of fear, it remains unclear how many representatives of TV channels will speak out at this event.

Did the RSS have a hand in the killing of Mahatma Gandhi? This question, that has haunted Indian public life for decades, has resurfaced after a court in Maharashtra this week framed charges against Rahul Gandhi for his claim that the RSS was responsible for the murder. We sift through the evidence on the RSS link to Mahatma Gandhi's murder: truth or hype?

The government says that India's new bankruptcy laws will put an end to the 'Mallyas' - billionaire fugitives wanted for loan fraud or default - of corporate India. We examine the truth vs hype of these claims.

The BJP claims Hindutva workers are under attack in coastal Karnataka. We travel to Mangaluru to uncover a more complex reality of violent turf wars between the Sangh Parivar and hardline Muslim groups.

As the Reddy mining barons stage a comeback, NDTV travels to Ballari to investigate what it means for the Karnataka elections.

In a week when ATM's ran dry, we are joined by the SBI chairman and former Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha to decode the sudden cash shortage.

On Ambedkar Jayanti, the usual political expressions of reassurances to Dalit anxieties may not quite be matched by ground reality. Dalit groups say there has been a backlash to the protests, by upper castes, and by the police - wrongful arrests, harassment, crackdowns. TVH traversed three districts in Western Uttar Pradesh, which had been touched by violence, to find ghost villages, and questionable FIRs.

Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party and the Samajwadi Party will join forces for the 2019 elections, Akhilesh Yadav told NDTV in Lucknow. "Based on our conversation, both our parties will together fight elections in 2019", the 44-year-old president of the Samajwadi Party, or SP, said. Speculation has been rife whether the two former arch rivals - who came together for last month's bypolls to produce a shock defeat for the ruling BJP - will be able to sustain their formidable alliance until the Lok Sabha elections.

After West Bengal, sectarian violence, triggered by religious yatras have erupted across the state. At least five districts have witnessed major incidents of communal clashes. Is this upsurge of violence just spontaneous , or is there a pattern emerging of the hand of the BJP and the Sangh Parivar in stoking the flames?

The man who started the Indian arm of Cambridge Analytica reveals the deceptive agenda of the tainted data firm.

We examine whether the BJP's shock bypoll defeat in Uttar Pradesh's Gorakhpur, the home turf of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath' signals a shift in the political narrative ahead of 2019.

This week, the government released data to the parliament on deaths of construction workers. But an NDTV investigation finds that they may have dramatically underestimated the numbers.

With news of a fresh bank scandal everyday a set pattern comes to light - delayed actions by investigating agencies, the promoter getting away, while the bank -and the public - are left holding the can. The latest: a jewellry company based in Delhi accused of embezzling Rs 389 crores from the Oriental Bank of Commerce. Tonight on Truth vs Hype we discuss, how even after defaults of thousands of crores, the accused are mostly at large or out on bail and the recovery amounts to almost nothing in comparison.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's annual budget promised farmers at least 50 per cent more price for some of their produce. But is the promise genuine or simply on paper? We examine the facts on Truth vs Hype.

In 2014, in the aftermath of the Nirbhaya case the government banned the cruel practice of the two-finger test in which doctors and nurses would examine a rape survivor's vagina for elasticity, using the findings to comment on their past sexual experience. But a Truth vs Hype investigation has found the pervasive use of the two-finger tests by medical examiners even in states which have adapted the new laws.

On Truth vs Hype, we try to examine what factors led to the unprecedented decision of four sitting Supreme Court judges to go public against the Chief Justice of India.

Former Telecom Minister A Raja and DMK MP Kanimozhi were acquitted by the court in the 2G scam along with all other accused despite CBI claiming that they have sufficient evidence of distortion of rules and of bribery. Justice OP Saini shredded both arguments to bits in his order. On Truth vs Hype, we discuss how did a case that seemed like slam dunk, fall apart.

In June this year, 15-year-old Junaid was stabbed and killed on a moving train as it made its way from Delhi to Haryana. An NDTV investigation traces the multiple weak links in the Haryana police probe into the Junaid murder which raises serious questions over whether justice is being sabotaged in one of the most horrific crimes in recent memory.

On Truth vs Hype this week, we find out if the Narendra Modi election blitz in Gujarat overcome the chinks in the BJP's armour.

A field test rates the ground networks that will decide the outcome in North Gujarat's Mehsana district, traditionally a BJP stronghold and now considered a battleground because of the Congress's alliance with caste leaders like Hardik Patel and Alpesh Thakor.

Indian or Bangladeshi? NDTV uncovers the pitfalls and contradictions behind Assam's stepped up anti-foreigner drive.

On this episode of Truth vs Hype, we take a look at Delhi's air pollution crisis. We analyse the multiple factors that have coalesced into making Delhi's air into an unbreathable cloud of poison and the countless government agencies responsible - leading to a nightmare of maximum agencies but minimum action.

Tipu Sultan, the 18th century ruler of the Mysore kingdom, has once again emerged at the heart of a polarising debate. As his anniversary nears with celebrations organised by the Congress government of Karnataka, the BJP has raised objections, calling him a tyrant and a bigot. The Congress has ardently defended the king. We examine how a complex historical figure has been stripped of nuance and oversimplified - for narrow political gains.

Controversy over linking Aadhaar to the delivery of cheap rations to the poor has escalated after the death of an 11-year-old girl in Jharkhand last week. Since then more deaths have been reported, some linked to the absence of Aadhaar, others to the holes in India's safety net. The government has tried to deflect blame from Aadhaar, or from official incompetence, claiming these deaths are due to poor health or disease. We examine whether this is truth or hype.

This week, one of the government's signature schemes - the Swachh Bharat Mission - turns three years old. We examine the data and travel to the ground to investigate the claims of a scheme on which an estimated Rs 50,000 crore have already been spent.

It's been almost a month since the murder of Bangalore-based journalist and activist Gauri Lankesh. As the protests against the cold-blooded murder waned, so has the progress into the murder by the investigating agencies. At Truth vs Hype this week, we go back to killings of three other rationalists and dissenters - Narendra Dabholkar, Govind Pansare and MM Kalburgi - to analyse how the cases throw up common finding such as threats by Hindu extremist groups, forensic reports confirming same weapons used and shootings by hit squads on motorcycles. Despite a clear crime pattern, has the trail for these murders run cold?

Uttar Pradesh has started implementing its promised loan waivers to farmers - with thousands receiving certificates of just a few rupees, the smallest being of just one paisa. The government clarified that these are farmers who have repaid most of their loan and what has been refunded is only the balance - even if it is an insignificant amount. But we found on the field that even farmers who have debt running into thousands were handed a refund certificate of a fraction of that amount. The waiver, which cost the state Rs 36,000, was meant to benefit 86 lakh farmers. But has it turned into a a potential public relations disaster in the first round itself?

India has described Myanmar's Rohingyas as a security threat, and has ordered their deportation. A Home Ministry advisory says they are vulnerable to being drawn to terrorism. But what is the basis for this sweeping generalisation? Does the track record of the estimated 40,000 Rohingyas in India suggest they are a terror threat? An NDTV multi-city investigation tracked police records at key Rohingya settlements, and found little evidence of terrorist links, or of greater criminality.

For a while, the fact that Prime Minister Narendra Modi followed abusive handles on Twitter has been a matter of concern. That blew into outrage when some of those handles tweeted venom after the murder of journalist Gauri Lankesh. The BJP responded, saying being followed by the PM is not a "character certificate". We examine whether that claim is Truth or Hype. And appeal to the PM: please unfollow #HandlesOfHate.

Was demonetisation a 99 per cent failure? That is the conclusion drawn by much of the analysis after the Reserve Bank of India or RBI revealed that 99 per cent of cash banned by the government has come back into the system. In response, the government has moved the goalposts, and come out with a deluge of data to show that notes ban has been a success -- from reducing terrorism, to a greater formalisation of the Indian economy. We sift through the numbers to test if these new claims are truth or hype.

As the High Court rebukes the BJP government of Haryana for the violence that erupted after self-styled godman Gurmeet Ram Rahim Singh was convicted, we trace the chain of culpability to the very top and ask why, despite evidence of repeated incompetence, is the BJP still backing Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar.

Confronted with more and more evidence that demonetisation may have dented the economy, the government has put out a confusing jumble of numbers to show that the move to scrap Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes has led to a surge in India's tax base. Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his Independence Day speech said that 56 lakh people filed Personal Income Tax Returns after notes ban - a big jump from same period last year. The latest Economic Survey says 5.4 lakh new taxpayers were added after notes ban. The Finance Minister earlier suggested that 91 lakh new taxpayers were added as a result of demonetization. 56 lakh, 5.4 lakh, 91 lakh - what is the correct number? What sense do we make of it? And do these numbers reflect a big increase, or has the data been cherry-picked? We try and decode the mystery math on a special edition of Truth vs Hype.

In the second part of our investigation into the fatal risks faced by construction workers in India, we uncover how even government commissioned projects are unsafe for workers - whether it's big projects like the Metro, or government housing colonies. We also posed tough questions, based on our findings, to India's labour minister, asking him what steps the government will take to ensure safety at worksites.

Millions of men and women build the homes of our dreams. Every year, hundreds of them die in fatal accidents or are injured - all because of the lack of safety on worksites and a shocking absence of government oversight. These fatal accidents are rendered invisible, because there is no official national-level record of construction workers' deaths or injuries. Over a five-month long investigation, through RTI's, police records, and NGO surveys, we have put together a first-of-its-kind national record of the deaths and injuries of India's construction workers on worskites. The results - though far from perfect - show the number of deaths are 10 times more than the only government estimate that exists. We also air undercover video from construction sites which have witnessed deadly accidents, to show how - despite having witnessed deaths - those worksites are still blatantly violating basic safety measures.

On Truth vs Hype, we examine the two big lessons from Nitish Kumar's abrupt decision to dump his ally, Lalu Yadav and join forces with the BJP. Does it mark the increasing irrelevance of so-called secular politics, (not secularism itself - an important principle in Indian public life)? Two, does it underline the utterly cynical and power centric nature of Indian politics, even when it comes to someone like Nitish Kumar, considered amongst India's more principled politicians?

Facing heat for not able to back its promises of job creation, the Centre and the BJP have repeatedly cited the success of MUDRA - a scheme meant to promote lending to small businesses. BJP President Amit Shah has claimed that in the two years since its inception, the MUDRA scheme has helped 7.28 crore people become self-employed. This number, if true, is nothing short of a revolution. But these numbers do not reflect in the job surveys that instead show the job market shrinking. This week on Truth vs Hype, we try to analyse the data, and hit the ground to discover how MUDRA may be simply re-branding an existing process as a new breakthrough. We also met top MUDRA officials who admit not having any data on how many jobs MUDRA has created.

The stage is set for the first meeting between Prime Minister Modi and US President Donald Trump. It comes at a time when President Trump faces intense scrutiny for his business interests around the world including India. This week, we examine Trump's real estate projects in India -- how they enrich him and do they pose a conflict of interest.

The CEO of NITI Aayog and the government's rainmaker joins us for a town hall debate on the government's struggle to create jobs. Does the hype around the government's claims of creating millions of jobs match the facts?

What explains the spreading unrest by farmers, from Madhya Pradesh to Maharashtra? Chief Ministers of both states deny the anger is spurred by their policies. They say the sharp drop in prices is because good monsoons have resulted in a glut, which is not the fault of government. We travel to the hinterlands to separate truth from hype.

Across India, cow vigilante attacks show no sign of stopping. Now, the centre has brought in even stronger cow protection rules, forbidding the sale of cattle at markets for slaughter. This kind of cow-centric policymaking, and statements by top BJP leaders, feeds the paranoia that the holy cow is under greater threat than before. But what are the facts to back this claim? Is illegal trafficking and slaughter of cow rising at alarming levels? This week, using the Right to Information, ground reports, and fact-gathering, we try to collate the data on the extent of illegal cattle slaughter and trafficking in India. Watch what we found.

Just over 90 days ago, a new BJP government took charge in Uttar Pradesh. The new chief minister promised that law and order will be his priority. And yet, Saharanapur, in west Uttar Pradesh has been rocked with sectarian violence for over a month - Hindus, Muslims, Dalits, upper castes - a cycle of action and reaction that refuses to die down. This week, we travel to the ground to examine why Saharanpur continues to burn. Are the same political dynamics unleashed by the BJP's stunning mandate, now coming back to haunt the Yogi sarkar?

As demonetisation completes six months, the government claims it as one of its most radical achievements. The goalposts of this policy move, however, have been shifting from eliminating black money to widening tax base; from weeding out fake currency to moving closer to a cashless economy. We will take a hard look at the economics: did the big shock to the economy reap the promised benefits?

Donald Trump has just about completed 100 chaotic days in the White House, but his Presidency already seems on edge, the latest crisis triggered by his sacking of the FBI Director. But in the face of falling approval ratings, and widespread criticism, does Trump's core base still stand by him? To find out Truth vs Hype travels to a crucial swing state to revisit a group of Trump's supporters we had met in November 2016, to ask them if they are still dazzled by President Trump or are they experiencing buyers' remorse?

One of the biggest expectations of the Modi government is creating jobs. By 2020, India's working age population is expected to hit a peak, making it the youngest country in the world. But as unemployment figures remain high, there are worries if India's demographics advantage can turn into a nightmare. This week, on Truth vs Hype, we examine if the claims made by the Modi government on creating jobs are truth or hype.

From UP to Jharkhand, a new-found religious aggression is taking wind across India. Some of it is by fringe, extremist Hindutva groups but worryingly - some of it is driven by mainstream members of the BJP. On Truth vs Hype, we uncover the rising impunity of these forces.

As Kashmir slips deeper into crisis we travel to the troubled valley for an on-ground report - has Kashmir lost faith in democracy? Who is in charge of the state? What role is social media playing in stoking tensions? And is it still possible to pull the Valley back from the brink?

After Uttar Pradesh wrote off 36,000 crore of farm loans and more states are considering similar waivers. This week, on Truth vs Hype, we examine whether loan waivers provide only short term relief while ignoring deeper symptoms of rural distress.

So-called cow vigilantes have struck again, killing one man in Rajasthan and wounding several more. Gau Rakshak violence is not new, but what is changed is that the ideology they use to justify their violence - the idea of the "cow in peril" - is being amplified by the BJP at its highest level. Senior leaders and chief ministers of the ruling party keep the "cow under threat" rhetoric alive, through statements and policies. But as we uncover this week, these claims are not grounded in facts, nor in ideology, and yet they are being used again and again, regardless of consequences.

This week we travel to Bangkok to interview Lalit Modi, the former IPL boss wanted by Indian law. As India's appeal to get an international arrest warrant against him is rejected by Interpol, we examine how he won his case, and whether he plans to re enter Indian cricket by proxy.

Many believe that this is a make or break election for Mayawati. That if she loses Uttar Pradesh, she loses political relevance. We travel to the ground to examine whether the Bahujan Samaj Party is right in claiming that the media has once again not read a hidden current of support for Mayawati. Will she spring a surprise or is this the BSP supremo's last stand?

VK Sasikala's nominee Chief Minister E Palaniswami may have won the trust vote but has he lost the trust of the people? In a special live edition of Truth vs Hype, the actor Kamal Haasan, singer TM Krishna and a host of leading voices debate whether Tamil Nadu is on the brink of a public uprising.

As VK Sasikala escalates a bid to become Tamil Nadu's Chief Minister, public unease against her possible ascension is rising - in part fuelled by her business interests and that of her family. New findings by NDTV show further proof of worrisome financial dealings, specifically how a web of shell companies links Ms Sasikala to a controversial mining baron.

Even before the BJP released its final list of candidates this week, it had taken its campaign for elections in Uttar Pradesh to the level of polling booths, bearing all hallmarks of the Amit Shah school of election management. The message sent out through a flotilla of bikes and video vans and by a massive social media campaign is of a promise of 'development' and much needed change in the state. We set out to examine the party's claims: Is the election machine staying on message, or has it embraced the political realities of Uttar Pradesh?

After Samajwadi Party's disputes being fought in public for months, Akhilesh Yadav has won the party symbol. But his protracted negotiations with his father, and with his alliance partner has delayed his official campaign. This week on Truth vs Hype, we report how the campaign to promote 'Brand Akhilesh' kicked started more than six months ago - some of it visible, and some of it driven by his hidden persuaders.

The notes ban has helped the BJP in civic body elections. But will it prove a winner in the crucial battle for Uttar Pradesh? A month from when it was first announced, public mood appears to be shifting from euphoria to impatience. We travel to eastern UP to examine whether notebandi will be BJP's masterstroke or misstep.

First came the notes ban - Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ambitious move to scrap 500 and 1,000-rupee notes to curb corruption and black money - and now, across the country, raids are in progress as crores in new currency is tumbling out. Many are asking how are these cash hoards possible, given that banks and ATMs seem consistently short of cash? This week, we report on the multiple devious ways in which crores of hoarded cash may have found its way back into the system, and how the raids and seizures may only be the tip of the iceberg.